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Blyth (BTH) Altman Z2-Score : 7.86 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Blyth Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Blyth has a Altman Z2-Score of 7.86, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blyth's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Blyth Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blyth's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Blyth Altman Z2-Score Chart

Blyth Annual Data
Trend Jan05 Jan06 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Altman Z2-Score
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Blyth Quarterly Data
Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
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Competitive Comparison of Blyth's Altman Z2-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Blyth's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blyth's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Blyth's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blyth's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Blyth Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Blyth's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3246+3.26*1.5974+6.72*-0.0498+1.05*0.8198
=7.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2015:
Total Assets was $239.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $147.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $69.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $382.2 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -8.096 + -12.548 + 14.306 + -13.621 = $-20.0 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.79 + -2.2 + -3.099 + -1.952 = $-8.0 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $131.1 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(147.017 - 69.351)/239.238
=0.3246

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=382.164/239.238
=1.5974

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-19.959 - -8.041)/239.238
=-0.0498

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(107.472 - 0)/131.095
=0.8198

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Blyth has a Altman Z2-Score of 7.86 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Blyth  (NYSE:BTH) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Blyth Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blyth's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blyth (BTH) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Blyth Inc was incorporated on September 9, 1977. The Company is a multi-channel company focused on the direct to consumer market. The Company designs and markets home fragrance products and decorative accessories, as well as weight management products, nutritional supplements and energy drinks. Its products include decorative and functional household products such as candles, accessories, seasonal decorations, household convenience items and personalized gifts; nutritional supplements such as meal replacement shakes, vitamins and energy mixes; as well as products for the foodservice trade. Its products can be found throughout North America, Europe and Australia. The Company has three business segments the Health and Wellness segment, the Candles and Home Decor segment and the Catalog and Internet segment. Within the Health and Wellness segment, it operates ViSalus, which is sells meal replacement shakes, nutritional supplements, nutritional cookies and energy drinks. Products in this segment are sold through networks of independent sales promoters in the United States and Canada. Within the Candles and Home Decor segment, it designs, manufactures or sources, markets and distributes a line of products including scented candles, candle-related accessories and other fragranced products under the PartyLite brand. PartyLite also offers gourmet foods under the Two Sisters Gourmet by PartyLite brand name. Products in this segment are sold through networks of independent sales consultants. PartyLite brand products are sold in North America, Europe and Australia. Within the Catalog and Internet segment, it designs, sources and markets household convenience items, holiday cards, personalized gifts, kitchen accessories, premium photo albums and frames. These products are sold directly to consumers under the Miles Kimball, Walter Drake, Easy Comforts, As we Change and Exposures brands. These products are sold in North America. Competition in the Candles and Home Decor segment includes companies selling candles manufactured at lower costs through direct selling and retail channels. Competition in the Health and Wellness segment includes companies selling competitive nutritional supplements and weight-loss management products through direct selling and retail channels. In the Health and Wellness and the Candles and Home Decor segments it competes for consultants or promoters with other direct selling companies, both those that sell similar products and those that sell other types of products. The Companys direct selling and network marketing programs are subject to federal and state regulations administered by the FTC and various state agencies as well as regulations in foreign markets administered by foreign agencies.
Executives
Ilan Kaufthal director 143 E LINDEN AVE, ENGLEWOOD NJ 07631
Tc Group Cayman Investment Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED, 190 ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9001
Carlyle Group Inc. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004
Carlyle Group Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP L.P., 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Carlyle Holdings Ii Gp L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP L.P., 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Carlyle Holdings Ii L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP L.P., 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, WASHINGTON DC 20004-2505
Tc Group Cayman Investment Holdings Sub L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WALKER CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED, 190 ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9001
Carlyle Equity Opportunity Gp, L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, SUITE 220 SOUTH 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W. WASHINGTON DC 20004
Carlyle Equity Opportunity Gp, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, SUITE 220 SOUTH 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W. WASHINGTON DC 20004
Neal I Goldman director 170 SOUTHPORT DRIVE, MORRISVILLE NC 27560
Todd Andrew Goergen 10 percent owner 1615 SOUTH 52ND STREET, TEMPE AZ 85281
Anne M Butler officer: President, PartyLite Worldwide 59 ARMSTRONG ROAD, P.O. BOX 976, PLYMOUTH MA 02360
Anne Busquet director 390 PARK AVE 4TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Philip Greer director

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