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Millennial Media (Millennial Media) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-15.81 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Millennial Media Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Millennial Media's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-15.81.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Millennial Media's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Millennial Media is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Millennial Media's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MM's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Media - Diversified industry.
Industry Median: 0.76
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Millennial Media Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Millennial Media's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Millennial Media Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Millennial Media Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Millennial Media Quarterly Data
Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
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Competitive Comparison of Millennial Media's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Millennial Media's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Millennial Media's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Millennial Media's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Millennial Media's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Millennial Media Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.51%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Millennial Media's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-1.370.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Millennial Media's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-1.370*11.5406
=-15.81

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-15.81-1.75)/-15.81
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Millennial Media  (NYSE:MM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Millennial Media Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Millennial Media's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Millennial Media (Millennial Media) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Millennial Media Inc was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware on May 30, 2006. It is an independent mobile advertising platform company. It offers advertisers audience reach, targeting capabilities and deliver rich and engaging ad experiences to consumers on their mobile connected devices. The Company's proprietary technology and data platform, known as MYDAS, determines in real-time which ad to deliver, to whom and when, with the goal of optimizing the effectiveness of advertising campaigns regardless of device type or operating system. It helps developers and advertisers remove complexity from mobile advertising. It provides tools and services to developers that allow their apps to display banner ads, interactive rich media ads and video ads from its platform. By partnering with it, developers gain access to advertising campaigns from advertiser clients as well as smaller performance-based advertisers. Through its mMedia portal, developers can download and integrate its software development kits, or SDKs, into their apps at no cost to them. The Company offers developers sophisticated reporting and analytics through an integrated dashboard on its mMedia portal, which includes comprehensive ad revenue generation reports for their apps across all major mobile operating systems. It offers all developers support through its mMedia portal, as well as various webinars, blogs and, in some cases, support from account managers. It has 72 issued patents, including U.S. and international. The Company is subject to U.S. and foreign laws and regulations that are applicable to companies engaged in the business of advertising on mobile devices. The Company is also subject to privacy and data protection laws.
Executives
Lara Sweet officer: VP, Controller & Treasurer C/O SNAP INC., 2772 DONALD DOUGLAS LOOP NORTH, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Robert Lord director, officer: President 506 SECOND AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98104
Verizon Communications Inc 10 percent owner 1095 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Robert P Goodman director 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Ho Shin officer: Gen. Counsel & Ch. Privacy Ofr 61 NINTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Michael G. Barrett director, officer: President and CEO C/O THE RUBICON PROJECT, INC., 12181 BLUFF CREEK DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, PLAYA VISTA CA 90094
Wenda Harris Millard director C/O YAHOO INC, 701 FIRST AVE, SUNNYVALLE CA 94089
Ross Levinsohn director 701 FIRST AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Patrick J Kerins director
Thomas R Evans director 11760 US HIGHWAY ONE, SUITE 200, NORTH PALM BEACH FL 33408
Mary Spilman officer: EVP, Global Sales & Marketing C/O CRITEO LEGAL DEPT., 387 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Bessemer Venture Partners Vi Institutional L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10583
Bessemer Venture Partners Vi L.p. 10 percent owner 1865 PALMER AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10583
Deer Vi & Co. Llc 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Bessemer Venture Partners Co-investment L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, LARCHMONT NY 10583

Millennial Media (Millennial Media) Headlines

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