The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
DARA Biosciences has a Altman Z-Score of -10.34, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
DARA Biosciences Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score
For the Biotechnology subindustry, DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score falls into.
DARA Biosciences Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
DARA Biosciences's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
0.2876
+
1.4
*
-7.6967
+
3.3
*
-1.0542
+
0.6
*
5.343
+
1.0
*
0.3658
=
-10.34
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
DARA Biosciences has a Altman Z-Score of -10.34 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
DARA Biosciences (NAS:DARA) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
DARA Biosciences Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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DARA Biosciences (DARA Biosciences) Business Description
DARA Biosciences Inc was incorporated on June 22, 2002. It is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of oncology treatment and supportive care pharmaceutical products. Through its acquisition of Oncogenerix, Inc., which occurred on January 17, 2012, the Company acquired exclusive U.S. marketing rights to its first commercial proprietary product, Soltamox (oral liquid tamoxifen). The Company's main focus is on the development and commercialization of oncology treatment and supportive care pharmaceutical products: Soltamox, Gemcitabine and other generic sterile injectable cytotoxic products, and Cancer support therapeutics. Soltamox (oral liquid tamoxifen), its first proprietary, FDA approved product, is a drug primarily used to treat breast cancer. Soltamox has been approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration ('FDA') for the treatment of breast cancer. Soltamox will be the only liquid formulation of tamoxifen available for sale in the United States. Soltamox is used mainly for the chronic treatment of breast cancer or for cancer prevention in certain susceptible breast cancer subgroups. The Company is also focusing on the development and commercialization of generic sterile injectable cytotoxic products. The Company's agreement with Uman Pharma Inc. pursuant to which it received an exclusive license to import, sell, market and distribute Uman's gemcitabine lyophilized powder product in 200mg and 1g dosage sizes in the U.S. Gemcitabine went off patent in 2011 in the U.S. and is prescribed as first-line therapy for ovarian, breast, lung and pancreatic cancers. Currently, the Company has two main drug candidates advancing through clinical development with cleared Investigational New Drug applications from the FDA: KRN5500, a novel, non-narcotic/non-opioid for the treatment of neuropathic pain in patients with cancer; and DB959, a first-in-class drug candidate for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and dyslipidemia. The Company mainly competes with other pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies and other research and academic institutions. The Company's advertising, marketing and distribution of pharmaceutical products in the United States is subject to the regulation of United States Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act.
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