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DARA Biosciences (DARA Biosciences) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is DARA Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), DARA Biosciences's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

DARA Biosciences's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for DARA Biosciences is

The historical rank and industry rank for DARA Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DARA's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 2.1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

DARA Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DARA Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DARA Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

DARA Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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DARA Biosciences Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
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Competitive Comparison of DARA Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, DARA Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DARA Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, DARA Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DARA Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



DARA Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

DARA Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 0.88) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DARA Biosciences  (NAS:DARA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


DARA Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DARA Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DARA Biosciences (DARA Biosciences) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
DARA Biosciences Inc was incorporated on June 22, 2002. It is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of oncology treatment and supportive care pharmaceutical products. Through its acquisition of Oncogenerix, Inc., which occurred on January 17, 2012, the Company acquired exclusive U.S. marketing rights to its first commercial proprietary product, Soltamox (oral liquid tamoxifen). The Company's main focus is on the development and commercialization of oncology treatment and supportive care pharmaceutical products: Soltamox, Gemcitabine and other generic sterile injectable cytotoxic products, and Cancer support therapeutics. Soltamox (oral liquid tamoxifen), its first proprietary, FDA approved product, is a drug primarily used to treat breast cancer. Soltamox has been approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration ('FDA') for the treatment of breast cancer. Soltamox will be the only liquid formulation of tamoxifen available for sale in the United States. Soltamox is used mainly for the chronic treatment of breast cancer or for cancer prevention in certain susceptible breast cancer subgroups. The Company is also focusing on the development and commercialization of generic sterile injectable cytotoxic products. The Company's agreement with Uman Pharma Inc. pursuant to which it received an exclusive license to import, sell, market and distribute Uman's gemcitabine lyophilized powder product in 200mg and 1g dosage sizes in the U.S. Gemcitabine went off patent in 2011 in the U.S. and is prescribed as first-line therapy for ovarian, breast, lung and pancreatic cancers. Currently, the Company has two main drug candidates advancing through clinical development with cleared Investigational New Drug applications from the FDA: KRN5500, a novel, non-narcotic/non-opioid for the treatment of neuropathic pain in patients with cancer; and DB959, a first-in-class drug candidate for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and dyslipidemia. The Company mainly competes with other pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies and other research and academic institutions. The Company's advertising, marketing and distribution of pharmaceutical products in the United States is subject to the regulation of United States Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act.
Executives
David Drutz director, officer: Executive Chairman and CMO 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
David L. Tousley officer: CFO 14610 PAWNEE LANE, LEAWOOD KS 66224
Gail Lieberman director 175 EAST 79TH STREET, APT. 4D, NEW YORK NY 10075
Paul John Richardson director 17 COUNTRY OAKS ROAD, LEBANON NJ 08833
Steve Gorlin director 150 GULF SHORE DRIVE, UNIT 601, DESTIN FL 32541
Ann A Rosar officer: Vice President Finance C/O 801 CAPITOLA DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27713
John C Thomas director 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
Geert Cauwenbergh director 1 STULTS DRIVE, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Kurt M Eichler director C/O SPRING BANK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., STE S-7, MILFORD MA 01757
Hamilton Jordan director
Stuart C Mcwhorter director 113 SEABOARD LANE, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Timothy J Barberich director 40 ELM ST, CONCORD MA 01752
Michael P Duffy officer: SVP, GC and Secretary C/O POINT THERAPEUTICS INC, 125 SUMMER STREET SUITE 1840, BOSTON MA 02110
Richard J Benjamin director 15 WHITE PINE ROAD, NEWTON MA 02464
Larry G Pickering director 26130 MANDEVILLA DRIVE, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134

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