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DARA Biosciences (DARA Biosciences) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-7.39 (As of Sep15)


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What is DARA Biosciences Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep15, DARA Biosciences's earnings power value is $-7.39. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


DARA Biosciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DARA Biosciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

DARA Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.32 9.75 4.30 0.26 -2.41

DARA Biosciences Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.20 -2.41 -3.57 -5.34 -7.39

Competitive Comparison of DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



DARA Biosciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

DARA Biosciences's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1.04
DDA 0.53
Operating Margin % -1,518.78
SGA * 25% 1.91
Tax Rate % 3.13
Maintenance Capex 0.16
Cash and Cash Equivalents 4.66
Short-Term Debt 0.01
Long-Term Debt 0.02
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 19.76

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -1,518.78%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1.04 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -1,518.78%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.91,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1.04 * -1,518.78% +1.91 = $-13.838694212 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 3.13%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-13.838694212 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -13.838694212 * ( 1 - 3.13% ) = $-13.40588905052 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.53 * 0.5 * 3.13% = $0.0082096875 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -13.40588905052 + 0.0082096875 = $-13.39767936302 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
DARA Biosciences's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.16 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. DARA Biosciences's current cash and cash equivalent = $4.66 Mil.
DARA Biosciences's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.02 + 0.01 = $0.024 Mil.
DARA Biosciences's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 19.76 Mil.

DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -13.39767936302 - 0.16)/ 9%+4.66-0.024 )/19.76
=-7.39

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -7.3917512333917-0.88 )/-7.3917512333917
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


DARA Biosciences  (NAS:DARA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


DARA Biosciences Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DARA Biosciences's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DARA Biosciences (DARA Biosciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
DARA Biosciences Inc was incorporated on June 22, 2002. It is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of oncology treatment and supportive care pharmaceutical products. Through its acquisition of Oncogenerix, Inc., which occurred on January 17, 2012, the Company acquired exclusive U.S. marketing rights to its first commercial proprietary product, Soltamox (oral liquid tamoxifen). The Company's main focus is on the development and commercialization of oncology treatment and supportive care pharmaceutical products: Soltamox, Gemcitabine and other generic sterile injectable cytotoxic products, and Cancer support therapeutics. Soltamox (oral liquid tamoxifen), its first proprietary, FDA approved product, is a drug primarily used to treat breast cancer. Soltamox has been approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration ('FDA') for the treatment of breast cancer. Soltamox will be the only liquid formulation of tamoxifen available for sale in the United States. Soltamox is used mainly for the chronic treatment of breast cancer or for cancer prevention in certain susceptible breast cancer subgroups. The Company is also focusing on the development and commercialization of generic sterile injectable cytotoxic products. The Company's agreement with Uman Pharma Inc. pursuant to which it received an exclusive license to import, sell, market and distribute Uman's gemcitabine lyophilized powder product in 200mg and 1g dosage sizes in the U.S. Gemcitabine went off patent in 2011 in the U.S. and is prescribed as first-line therapy for ovarian, breast, lung and pancreatic cancers. Currently, the Company has two main drug candidates advancing through clinical development with cleared Investigational New Drug applications from the FDA: KRN5500, a novel, non-narcotic/non-opioid for the treatment of neuropathic pain in patients with cancer; and DB959, a first-in-class drug candidate for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and dyslipidemia. The Company mainly competes with other pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies and other research and academic institutions. The Company's advertising, marketing and distribution of pharmaceutical products in the United States is subject to the regulation of United States Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act.
Executives
David Drutz director, officer: Executive Chairman and CMO 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
David L. Tousley officer: CFO 14610 PAWNEE LANE, LEAWOOD KS 66224
Gail Lieberman director 175 EAST 79TH STREET, APT. 4D, NEW YORK NY 10075
Paul John Richardson director 17 COUNTRY OAKS ROAD, LEBANON NJ 08833
Steve Gorlin director 150 GULF SHORE DRIVE, UNIT 601, DESTIN FL 32541
Ann A Rosar officer: Vice President Finance C/O 801 CAPITOLA DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27713
John C Thomas director 8601 SIX FORKS ROAD, SUITE 160, RALEIGH NC 27615
Geert Cauwenbergh director 1 STULTS DRIVE, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Kurt M Eichler director C/O SPRING BANK PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., STE S-7, MILFORD MA 01757
Hamilton Jordan director
Stuart C Mcwhorter director 113 SEABOARD LANE, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Timothy J Barberich director 40 ELM ST, CONCORD MA 01752
Michael P Duffy officer: SVP, GC and Secretary C/O POINT THERAPEUTICS INC, 125 SUMMER STREET SUITE 1840, BOSTON MA 02110
Richard J Benjamin director 15 WHITE PINE ROAD, NEWTON MA 02464
Larry G Pickering director 26130 MANDEVILLA DRIVE, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134

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