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CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City) Altman Z-Score : 2.24 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Canadian Pacific Kansas City Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.31 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City has a Altman Z-Score of 2.24, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Canadian Pacific Kansas City is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CP' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.75   Med: 2.43   Max: 3.85
Current: 2.31

During the past 13 years, Canadian Pacific Kansas City's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.85. The lowest was 1.75. And the median was 2.43.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Altman Z-Score Chart

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.07 3.41 1.97 2.19 1.87

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.75 1.87 2.09 2.23 2.41

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Canadian Pacific Kansas City Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0332+1.4*0.2238+3.3*0.066+0.6*2.6242+1.0*0.1757
=2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $60,701 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,268 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,280 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $13,587 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 811.31 + 871.945 + 763.15 + 963.775 = $3,410 Mil.
Interest Expense was -141.739 + -145.932 + -152.187 + -153.548 = $-593 Mil.
Revenue was 2619.962 + 2628.968 + 2600.473 + 2814.55 = $10,664 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $71,960 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $27,421 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2267.828 - 4280.23)/60700.576
=-0.0332

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=13587.037/60700.576
=0.2238

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3410.18 - -593.406)/60700.576
=0.066

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=71959.504/27421.379
=2.6242

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=10663.953/60700.576
=0.1757

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Canadian Pacific Kansas City has a Altman Z-Score of 2.24 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City  (NYSE:CP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City Business Description

Address
7550 Ogden Dale Road SouthEast, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2C 4X9
Canadian Pacific Kansas City is a Class-1 railroad operating on track that spans across most of Canada and into parts of the Midwestern and Northeastern United States. Following the April 2023 Kansas City Southern merger, CP operates new single-line-haul services from Canada and the Upper Midwest down through Texas, the Gulf of Mexico, and into Mexico. It also hauls cross border and intra Mexico freight via operating concessions on roughly 3,300 miles of rail in Mexico. CP hauls shipments of grain, intermodal containers, energy products (like crude and frac sand), chemicals, plastics, coal, fertilizer and potash, automotive products, and a diverse mix of other merchandise.
Executives
John Kenneth Brooks officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Mike Foran officer: VP Network Transportation 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Clements James Dominic Luther officer: VP Planning & Transportation 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Mark Kenneth Wallace officer: VP Corp Affrs & Chief of Staff 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
E Hunter Harrison director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2708 SHELTINGHAM, WELLINGTON FL 33414
Trafton Gordon T. Ii director 2632 SUTTON CIRCLE, NAPERVILLE IL 60564
Ubavka Rebecca Macdonald director 130 KING STREET WEST, TORONTO A6 M5X 1E1
Jane L Peverett director 1489 MARINE DRIVE, SUITE 802, WEST VANCOUVER A1 V7T 1B8
Peter John Edwards officer: VP HR & Labour Relations 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Robert Allen Johnson officer: Executive VP Operations 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
John E Derry officer: Vice-President Human Resources 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
William R. Fatt director 129 ROCHESTER AVENUE, TORONTO A6 M4N 1N9
Gillian H Denham director C/O CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY LIMITED, 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Nadeem Velani officer: Interim VP and CFO 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S. E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.p. director 787 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019