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CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $40.06 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Canadian Pacific Kansas City Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $40.06. The stock price of Canadian Pacific Kansas City is $77.16. Therefore, Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.55   Med: 2.36   Max: 6.65
Current: 1.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Canadian Pacific Kansas City was 6.65. The lowest was 1.55. And the median was 2.36.

CP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.84% of 704 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs CP: 1.93

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.88 22.11 46.34 36.66 39.48

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.96 39.48 39.70 40.30 41.18

Competitive Comparison of Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Railroads subindustry, Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Canadian Pacific Kansas City Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,341.39.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1341.39248+32587.48*0.8)/935.300
=41.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City  (NYSE:CP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=77.16/41.52733030876
=1.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canadian Pacific Kansas City's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canadian Pacific Kansas City Business Description

Address
7550 Ogden Dale Road SouthEast, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2C 4X9
Canadian Pacific Kansas City is a Class-1 railroad operating on track that spans across most of Canada and into parts of the Midwestern and Northeastern United States. Following the April 2023 Kansas City Southern merger, CP operates new single-line-haul services from Canada and the Upper Midwest down through Texas, the Gulf of Mexico, and into Mexico. It also hauls cross border and intra Mexico freight via operating concessions on roughly 3,300 miles of rail in Mexico. CP hauls shipments of grain, intermodal containers, energy products (like crude and frac sand), chemicals, plastics, coal, fertilizer and potash, automotive products, and a diverse mix of other merchandise.
Executives
John Kenneth Brooks officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Mike Foran officer: VP Network Transportation 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Clements James Dominic Luther officer: VP Planning & Transportation 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Mark Kenneth Wallace officer: VP Corp Affrs & Chief of Staff 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
E Hunter Harrison director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2708 SHELTINGHAM, WELLINGTON FL 33414
Trafton Gordon T. Ii director 2632 SUTTON CIRCLE, NAPERVILLE IL 60564
Ubavka Rebecca Macdonald director 130 KING STREET WEST, TORONTO A6 M5X 1E1
Jane L Peverett director 1489 MARINE DRIVE, SUITE 802, WEST VANCOUVER A1 V7T 1B8
Peter John Edwards officer: VP HR & Labour Relations 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Robert Allen Johnson officer: Executive VP Operations 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
John E Derry officer: Vice-President Human Resources 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
William R. Fatt director 129 ROCHESTER AVENUE, TORONTO A6 M4N 1N9
Gillian H Denham director C/O CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY LIMITED, 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S.E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Nadeem Velani officer: Interim VP and CFO 7550 OGDEN DALE ROAD S. E., CALGARY A0 T2C 4X9
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.p. director 787 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019