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China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839) Free Cash Flow : HK$1,088 Mil (TTM As of Aug. 2023)


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What is China Education Group Holdings Free Cash Flow?

China Education Group Holdings's total free cash flow for the months ended in Aug. 2023 was HK$1,460 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2023 was HK$1,088 Mil.

China Education Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Aug. 2023 was HK$0.57. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2023 was HK$0.42.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of China Education Group Holdings was 65.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 9 years, China Education Group Holdings's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 68.10% per year. The lowest was -2.00% per year. And the median was 53.40% per year.


China Education Group Holdings Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Education Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Education Group Holdings Free Cash Flow Chart

China Education Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 578.45 -100.68 -521.55 671.50 1,109.93

China Education Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -641.78 1,273.77 -371.81 1,459.75 -

China Education Group Holdings Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

China Education Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Aug. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Aug. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=4152.519+-3042.589
=1,110

China Education Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Aug. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Aug. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=3106.292+-1646.54
=1,460

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Aug. 2023 adds up the semi-annually data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was HK$1,088 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Education Group Holdings  (HKSE:00839) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Aug23, China Education Group Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Aug23)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.19883333/6.67+0.2
=22.98 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


China Education Group Holdings Free Cash Flow Related Terms

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China Education Group Holdings (HKSE:00839) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
18 Harbour Road, Suite 6703–04, 67th Floor, Central Plaza, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
China Education Group Holdings Ltd is a leading ultra-large-scale private education group in China with 30 years of experience in higher education operations. CEG's schools offer both higher vocational education and secondary vocational education. The school network spans domestic China and overseas. CEG also offers continuing education to full-time working adults. The group's total enrolled full-time students in China expanded more than 3 times over the last six years to about 248,000 as of August 2023. The rapid growth is primarily attributable to school acquisitions. CEG currently operates 14 schools, up from only 3 in 2017.
Executives
Blue Sky Education International Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
White Clouds Education International Limited 2401 A concert party to an agreement to buy shares
Cantrust (far East) Limited 2301 Trustee
Passionate Jade Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shimmery Diamond Holding Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xie Ketao 2501 Other
Yu Guo 2501 Other
Yu Kai 2501 Other

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