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Lafarge (XPAR:LGNV) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -6.15% (As of Jun. 2015)


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What is Lafarge Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Lafarge's forward rate of return for was -6.15%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XPAR:LGNV' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -15.7   Med: 4   Max: 94.4
Current: -6.32

During the past 13 years, Lafarge's highest Forward Rate of Return was 94.40. The lowest was -15.70. And the median was 4.00.

XPAR:LGNV's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Building Materials industry.
Industry Median: 9.55 vs XPAR:LGNV: -6.32

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Lafarge Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lafarge Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Lafarge Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.91 -3.07 -15.40 -10.44 -4.30

Lafarge Quarterly Data
Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.09 -4.22 -4.30 -5.26 -6.15

Competitive Comparison of Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Building Materials subindustry, Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Lafarge Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2015 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.4127619/0+-0.0822
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lafarge  (XPAR:LGNV) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Lafarge Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lafarge's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lafarge (XPAR:LGNV) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Lafarge SA is a French limited liability company governed by French law and was founded in France in 1833 and was incorporated in 1884 under the name "J. et A. Pavin de Lafarge". The Company provides building materials. It is engaged in producing & selling cement, aggregates and ready-mix concrete, mostly under the "Lafarge" brand name. Its building products and solutions are used to construct and renovate homes, buildings and infrastructures. At year-end 2013, Company cement production operated, in 56 countries, 113 cement plants and 42 grinding plants, with an annual production capacity of 221 million tons. It also manages cement trading activities. The Company aggregates and concrete are used as raw materials for concrete, masonry, asphalt, and other industrial processes, and as base materials for roads, landfills, and building. As of December 31, 2013, Company had approximately 437 production facilities for aggregates in 23 countries. The Company's Ready-mix concrete had 1,026 concrete plants in 33 countries as of December 31, 2014. The Company also produces asphalt in North America and the United Kingdom, and sells either as a stand-alone product, or in conjunction with contracted paving. The Company operates in Western Europe, North America, Central & Eastern Europe, Middle East & Africa, and Asia.

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