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Reynolds American (Reynolds American) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 32.33% (As of Mar. 2017)


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What is Reynolds American Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Reynolds American's forward rate of return for was 32.33%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

RAI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Tobacco Products industry.
Industry Median: 12.52
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Reynolds American Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Reynolds American Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Reynolds American Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.52 13.30 10.81 19.66 34.35

Reynolds American Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.14 28.67 32.29 34.35 32.33

Competitive Comparison of Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Tobacco subindustry, Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Reynolds American Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2017 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.11752381/63.02+0.2
=21.77 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Reynolds American  (NYSE:RAI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Reynolds American Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Reynolds American's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Reynolds American (Reynolds American) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Reynolds American controls roughly one third of the U.S. cigarette market and is the second-largest domestic cigarette manufacturer behind Altria. Its brands include Camel, Pall Mall, and Newport. Reynolds also owns the Grizzly and Kodiak smokeless tobacco brands. Another subsidiary, Santa Fe Natural Tobacco, manufactures superpremium Natural American Spirit cigarettes. In 2013, Reynolds entered the electronic cigarette market with its Vuse brand, which captured a significant share of this small but growing market.
Executives
John J Zillmer director ARAMARK CORP, 1101 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19107
Debra Ann Crew officer: President and CEO STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC., 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Ronald S Rolfe director 825 8TH AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Nowell Lionel L Iii director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Holly K Koeppel director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Susan M. Cameron director C/O TUPPERWARE BRANDS CORP, PO BOX 2353, ORLANDO FL 32802-2353
Murray S Kessler director 714 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Nana Mensah director 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Thomas C Wajnert director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON SALEM NC 27102
Richard E Thornburgh director 401 N. MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Nicholas V Scheele director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Betsy S Atkins director
Joseph P Viviano director 4351 GULF SHORE BLVD. N, 17N LERIVAGE, NAPLES FL 34103
Monteiro De Castro Antonio director BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO - GLOBE HOUSE, 4 TEMPLE PLACE, LONDON X0 WC2R2PG
Chain John T Jr director 401 N. MAIN ST., C/O RJ REYNOLDS TOBACCO HOLDINGS, WINSTON SALEM NC 27102

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