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Reynolds American (Reynolds American) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is Reynolds American Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Reynolds American's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Reynolds American's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Reynolds American is N/A%.

The industry rank for Reynolds American's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

RAI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Tobacco Products industry.
Industry Median: 0.49
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Reynolds American Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Reynolds American's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Reynolds American Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Reynolds American Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 14.17 1.57 -

Reynolds American Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.85 -8.84 6.80 - -

Competitive Comparison of Reynolds American's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Tobacco subindustry, Reynolds American's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reynolds American's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Reynolds American's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reynolds American's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Reynolds American Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Reynolds American's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Reynolds American's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-65.40)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Reynolds American  (NYSE:RAI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Reynolds American Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Reynolds American's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Reynolds American (Reynolds American) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Reynolds American controls roughly one third of the U.S. cigarette market and is the second-largest domestic cigarette manufacturer behind Altria. Its brands include Camel, Pall Mall, and Newport. Reynolds also owns the Grizzly and Kodiak smokeless tobacco brands. Another subsidiary, Santa Fe Natural Tobacco, manufactures superpremium Natural American Spirit cigarettes. In 2013, Reynolds entered the electronic cigarette market with its Vuse brand, which captured a significant share of this small but growing market.
Executives
John J Zillmer director ARAMARK CORP, 1101 MARKET ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19107
Debra Ann Crew officer: President and CEO STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC., 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Ronald S Rolfe director 825 8TH AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Nowell Lionel L Iii director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Holly K Koeppel director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Susan M. Cameron director C/O TUPPERWARE BRANDS CORP, PO BOX 2353, ORLANDO FL 32802-2353
Murray S Kessler director 714 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Nana Mensah director 1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Thomas C Wajnert director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON SALEM NC 27102
Richard E Thornburgh director 401 N. MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Nicholas V Scheele director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Betsy S Atkins director
Joseph P Viviano director 4351 GULF SHORE BLVD. N, 17N LERIVAGE, NAPLES FL 34103
Monteiro De Castro Antonio director BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO - GLOBE HOUSE, 4 TEMPLE PLACE, LONDON X0 WC2R2PG
Chain John T Jr director 401 N. MAIN ST., C/O RJ REYNOLDS TOBACCO HOLDINGS, WINSTON SALEM NC 27102

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