Pandora Media (Pandora Media) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2011. Start your Free Trial

What is Pandora Media Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Pandora Media Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Pandora Media Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pandora Media's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Pandora Media (Pandora Media) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Pandora Media Inc (NYSE:P) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.pandora.com

Pandora Medic Inc is a radio broadcasting company that offers music streaming and automated music recommendation services. Pandora allows users to listen to music selections based on the user's artist or genre preference and then provide positive or negative feedback, which is utilized by the program to choose subsequent musical selections. Pandora can be accessed through a web browser or the company's application that can be downloaded to a personal computer or mobile phone. The service is available in the United States, Australia, and New Zealand. Pandora derives the majority of its revenue in the United States.

Executives

Gregory B Maffei	director	12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Karen Sammis Walker	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	2101 WEBSTER STREET, #1650, OAKLAND CA 94612
S Aimee Lapic	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	2101 WEBSTER ST #1650, OAKLAND CA 94612
Michael Lynton	director	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS 12TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
David J Frear	director	1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Naveen K. Chopra	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O 2160 GOLD STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Stephen G Bene	officer: General Counsel & Secretary	C/O ELECTRONIC ARTS INC., 209 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
James E Meyer	director	6922 HOLLYWOOD BLVD., 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90028
Roger Lynch	director, officer: CEO & President	PANDORA MEDIA, INC., 2101 WEBSTER STREET, SUITE 1650, OAKLAND CA 94612
Liberty Media Corp	director, 10 percent owner	12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Elizabeth A Nelson	director	MACROMEDIA/ 600 TOWNSEND ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Peter C Gotcher	director
James Feuille	director	TWO EMBARCADERO, SUITE 2200, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Peter Chernin	director	1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Crosslink Capital Inc	other: Affiliate of Director	2180 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 200, MENLO PARK CA 94025