National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $17.52 (As of May. 12, 2024)

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What is National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-12), National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $17.52. The stock price of National Vision Holdings is $14.76. Therefore, National Vision Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EYE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.84 Med: 1.52 Max: 3.47
Current: 0.84

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of National Vision Holdings was 3.47. The lowest was 0.84. And the median was 1.52.

EYE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.83% of 726 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs EYE: 0.84

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

National Vision Holdings Annual Data

Trend

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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13.82

16.65

16.81

National Vision Holdings Quarterly Data
	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															15.00	17.49	17.19	16.81	17.52

Competitive Comparison of National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, National Vision Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

National Vision Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National Vision Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Vision Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get National Vision Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $72.86.

National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(9.7180950547477	*	72.8568	+	841.319	*	0.8)	/	78.826
	=	17.52

National Vision Holdings (NAS:EYE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

National Vision Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	14.76	/	17.520672212021
	=	0.84

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » National Vision Holdings Inc (NAS:EYE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

7NV:Germany

Address

2435 Commerce Avenue, Building 2200, Duluth, GA, USA, 30096

Website

https://www.nationalvision.com

National Vision Holdings Inc is an optical retailer in the U.S. Its product portfolio includes eyeglasses and sunglasses, contact lenses, accessories, and other products. The company has two operating segments; Owned and Host segment includes company-owned brands America's Best and Eyeglass World, In America's Best stores, vision care services are provided by optometrists or by independent professional corporations and Host operating consist of Military and Fred Meyer which provide eye exams by independent optometrists, and the Legacy segment manages the operations of, and supplies inventory and lab processing services to Legacy retail Vision Centers. It earns a majority of its revenue from the Owned and Host segment.

Executives

D Randolph Peeler	director, 10 percent owner	CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701
Thomas V Taylor	director	2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, STE. 400, SMYRNA GA 30080
Ravi Acharya	officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Virginia A Hepner	director	415 EAST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
L Reade Fahs	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Patrick R. Moore	officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE, BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jared Brandman	officer: SVP, GC and Secretary	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096-4980
David M Tehle	director	100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Joseph Vandette	officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Melissa Rasmussen	officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer	NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG 2200, DULUTH GA 30095
Roger F. Francis	officer: SVP, Chief Stores Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jose Armario	director	MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 2915 JORIE BOULEVARD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Susan S Johnson	director	303 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, ATLANTA GA 30308
Naomi Kelman	director	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Joan Blackwood	officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096