National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 26, 2024)

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What is National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-26), National Vision Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

National Vision Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for National Vision Holdings is

The historical rank and industry rank for National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

EYE's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.78
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

National Vision Holdings Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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National Vision Holdings Quarterly Data
	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, National Vision Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

National Vision Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, National Vision Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Vision Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

National Vision Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	14.77)	/

National Vision Holdings (NAS:EYE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

National Vision Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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National Vision Holdings (National Vision Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » National Vision Holdings Inc (NAS:EYE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

7NV:Germany

Address

2435 Commerce Avenue, Building 2200, Duluth, GA, USA, 30096

Website

https://www.nationalvision.com

National Vision Holdings Inc is an optical retailer in the U.S. Its product portfolio includes eyeglasses and sunglasses, contact lenses, accessories, and other products. The company has two operating segments; Owned and Host segment includes company-owned brands America's Best and Eyeglass World, In America's Best stores, vision care services are provided by optometrists or by independent professional corporations and Host operating consist of Military and Fred Meyer which provide eye exams by independent optometrists, and the Legacy segment manages the operations of, and supplies inventory and lab processing services to Legacy retail Vision Centers. It earns a majority of its revenue from the Owned and Host segment.

Executives

D Randolph Peeler	director, 10 percent owner	CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701
Thomas V Taylor	director	2233 LAKE PARK DRIVE, STE. 400, SMYRNA GA 30080
Ravi Acharya	officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Virginia A Hepner	director	415 EAST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
L Reade Fahs	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Patrick R. Moore	officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE, BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jared Brandman	officer: SVP, GC and Secretary	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG. 2200, DULUTH GA 30096-4980
David M Tehle	director	100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Joseph Vandette	officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Melissa Rasmussen	officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer	NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVENUE BLDG 2200, DULUTH GA 30095
Roger F. Francis	officer: SVP, Chief Stores Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Jose Armario	director	MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 2915 JORIE BOULEVARD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Susan S Johnson	director	303 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, ATLANTA GA 30308
Naomi Kelman	director	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096
Joan Blackwood	officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer	C/O NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS, INC., 2435 COMMERCE AVE., BUILDING 2200, DULUTH GA 30096