GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Cardinal Financial Corp (NAS:CFNL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Cardinal Financial (Cardinal Financial) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $15.27 (As of May. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1998. Start your Free Trial

What is Cardinal Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Cardinal Financial's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $15.27.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Cardinal Financial's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Cardinal Financial is -90.18%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cardinal Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CFNL's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.67
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Cardinal Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cardinal Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cardinal Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Cardinal Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Cardinal Financial Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Cardinal Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Cardinal Financial's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cardinal Financial's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Cardinal Financial's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cardinal Financial's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Cardinal Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.51%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Cardinal Financial's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.323.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Cardinal Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.323*11.5406
=15.27

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (15.27 - 29.04) / 15.27
= -90.18 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cardinal Financial  (NAS:CFNL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Cardinal Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cardinal Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cardinal Financial (Cardinal Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Cardinal Financial Corporation was incorporated under the laws of Virginia as a financial holding Company on June, 25, 2003. The Company's activities consist of investments in its wholly-owned subsidiaries. The main operating subsidiary of the company is Cardinal Bank. Cardinal Bank offers a range of traditional bank loan and deposit products and services to both its commercial and retail customers. The Company's commercial relationship managers attract small and medium sized businesses as well as government contractors, commercial real estate developers and builders and professionals, such as physicians, accountants and attorneys. The Company operates in three business segments, commercial banking, mortgage banking and wealth management and trust services. The commercial banking segment includes both commercial and consumer lending and provides customers such products as commercial loans, real estate loans, and other business financing and consumer loans. In addition, this segment provides customers with several choices of deposit products, including demand deposit accounts, savings accounts and certificates of deposit. The mortgage banking segment engages mainly in the origination and acquisition of residential mortgages for sale into the secondary market on a efforts basis. The wealth management and trust services segment provides investment and financial advisory services to businesses and individuals, including financial planning, retirement/estate planning, trust, estates, custody, investment management, escrows, and retirement plans. The Company competes as a financial intermediary with other commercial banks, savings and loan associations, savings banks, credit unions, mortgage banking firms, consumer finance companies, securities brokerage firms, insurance companies, mutual fund groups and other types of financial institutions. The Bank is subject to regulation, supervision and examination by the Bureau of Financial Institutions of the Virginia State Corporation Commission. The Bank and its also are subject to regulation, supervision and examination by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.
Executives
Mark A Wendel officer: EVP/Chief Financial Officer C/O FIRST COMMUNITY BANCSHARES, P.O. BOX 989, BLUEFIELD VA 24605-0989
Bernard H Clineburg director, officer: Executive Chairman CARDINAL FINANCIAL CORP, 8270 GREENSBORO DRIVE STE 500, MCLEAN VA 22102
Barbara B Lang director 8270 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 500, MCLEAN VA 22102
Steven M Wiltse director 11325 RANDOM HILLS RD, STE 240, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Alan G Merten director 11020 POPES HEAD ROAD, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Kendal E Carson officer: President 514 MARKET STREET, PARKERSBURG WV 26101
Cynthia A Cole officer: EVP/Marketing Director 8270 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 500, MCLEAN VA 22102

Cardinal Financial (Cardinal Financial) Headlines