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Westbury Bancorp (Westbury Bancorp) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Westbury Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Westbury Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Westbury Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Westbury Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Westbury Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Westbury Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Westbury Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Westbury Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Westbury Bancorp  (OTCPK:WBBW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Westbury Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Westbury Bancorp (Westbury Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
N16W23250 Stone Ridge Drive, Suite 5, Waukesha, WI, USA, 53188
Westbury Bancorp Inc is the savings and loan holding company for Westbury Bank. It provides a variety of financial services to individuals and small businesses throughout Southeastern Wisconsin. Its principal business consists of attracting retail deposits from the general public and investing those deposits, together with funds generated from operations, and borrowings, in commercial and multifamily real estate loans, and commercial business loans. The bank's primary deposit products are checking, savings, money market and term certificate accounts and its primary lending products are consumers, commercial and residential mortgage loans.
Executives
Martin S. Friedman 10 percent owner, other: (See Remarks below) 7901 JONES BRANCH DR. SUITE 210, MCLEAN VA 22102
Michael C Holland officer: SVP/Chief Compliance Officer 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Steven L. Ritt officer: Senior VP & General Counsel 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET C/O WESTBURY BANCORP, INC. WEST BEND WI 53095
Donald J. Murn director 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET C/O WESTBURY BANCORP, INC. WEST BEND WI 53095
Stephen Sinner director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET C/O WESTBURY BANCORP, INC. WEST BEND WI 53095
Rondi Rohr-dralle director 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Peter Emmett Lee officer: EVP - Community Banking 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Greg J Remus director, officer: President and CEO 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Glenn Stadler officer: EVP/Chief Commercial Lending 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Raymond F Lipman director, officer: Chairman 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
James A Spella director 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Kirk J Emerich officer: EVP and CFO 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
David G Jorgensen director 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
Andrew J Gumm director 200 SOUTH MAIN STREET WEST BEND WI 53095
William D Gehl director C/O GEHL COMPANY, 143 WATER STREET, WEST BEND WI 53095

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