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Virtus Global Multi-Sector (Virtus Global Multi-Sector) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Virtus Global Multi-Sector Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Virtus Global Multi-Sector's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Virtus Global Multi-Sector's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Virtus Global Multi-Sector's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Virtus Global Multi-Sector's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Virtus Global Multi-Sector's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Virtus Global Multi-Sector's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Virtus Global Multi-Sector Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.91

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Virtus Global Multi-Sector  (NYSE:VGI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Virtus Global Multi-Sector Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Virtus Global Multi-Sector (Virtus Global Multi-Sector) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
101 Munson Street, Greenfield, MA, USA, 01301-9683
Virtus Global Multi-Sector Inc is a United States-based diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to maximize current income while preserving capital. The Fund seeks to achieve its investment objectives by capitalizing on opportunities across undervalued areas of the global bond markets.
Executives
Mcdaniel Connie D director C/O VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC., ONE FINANCIAL PLAZA, 26TH FL., HARTFORD CT 06103
Sarah E Cogan director 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
F Ford Drummond director 100 N BROADWAY, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Deborah A Decotis director 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Richard W Smirl officer: EVP C/O VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC., ONE FINANCIAL PLAZA, HARTFORD CT 06103
R Keith Walton director 100 PEARL STREET, HARTFORD CT 06103
John R Mallin director C/O VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC., ONE FINANCIAL PLAZA, 26TH FL., HARTFORD CT 06103
Sidney E Harris director C/O VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS, INC., ONE FINANCIAL PLAZA, 26TH FL., HARTFORD CT 06103
Geraldine M Mcnamara director 150 EAST 44TH ST, APT 35G, NEW YORK NY 10017
Donald C Burke director C/O BLACKROCK FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brian T Zino director 100 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Rogers James B Jr director 14 WESLEY STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM11
James M Oates director C/O INVESTORS FINANCIAL SERVICES CORP, 200 CLARENDON ST, BOSTON MA 02116
Thomas F. Mann director 125 EAST ELM STREET, SUITE 200, CONSHOHOCKEN PA 19428
Benjamin Caron other: Officer of the Sub-Adviser C/O NEWFLEET ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC, 100 PEARL STREET, HARTFORD CT 06103