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Citizens Financial Services (Citizens Financial Services) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $30.24 (As of Mar24)


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What is Citizens Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Citizens Financial Services's earnings power value is $30.24. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -45.83

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Citizens Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Citizens Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Citizens Financial Services Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 50.07 70.37 128.52 51.65 29.72

Citizens Financial Services Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.30 37.44 29.19 29.72 30.24

Competitive Comparison of Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Citizens Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Citizens Financial Services's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 78.99
DDA 1.23
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 7.47
Tax Rate % 17.78
Maintenance Capex 1.24
Cash and Cash Equivalents 438.30
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 283.57
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 4.70

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $78.99 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 7.47,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 78.99 * 0.00% +7.47 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 17.78%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 17.78% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.23 * 0.5 * 17.78% = $0.1095935475 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.1095935475 = $0.1095935475 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Citizens Financial Services's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.24 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Citizens Financial Services's current cash and cash equivalent = $438.30 Mil.
Citizens Financial Services's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 283.57 + 0.00 = $283.565 Mil.
Citizens Financial Services's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 4.70 Mil.

Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.1095935475 - 1.24)/ 9%+438.30-283.565 )/4.70
=30.24

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 30.241513179971-44.10 )/30.241513179971
= -45.83%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Citizens Financial Services  (NAS:CZFS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Citizens Financial Services Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Citizens Financial Services's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Citizens Financial Services (Citizens Financial Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
15 South Main Street, Mansfield, PA, USA, 16933
Citizens Financial Services Inc is a Pennsylvania-chartered bank and trust company. The company through its banking subsidiary provides banking activities and services for individual, business, governmental and institutional customers. Its activities and services principally include checking, savings, and time deposit accounts; residential, commercial and agricultural real estate, commercial and industrial, state and political subdivision and consumer loans; and a variety of other specialized financial services. The Trust and Investment division of the Bank offers a full range of client investment, estate, mineral management and retirement services.
Executives
R Joseph Landy director 741 SOUTH MAIN STREET, ATHENS PA 18810
Stephen J Guillaume officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT POST OFFICE BOX 43, LIBERTY PA 16930
Robert Joseph Marino director 407 33RD STREET S, BRIGANTINE NJ 08203
Richards David Z Jr director, officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 209 TWIGS LANE, STATE COLLEGE PA 16801
Rinaldo A Depaola director 50 REEL STREET, SAYRE PA 18840
John D Behm other: Subsidiary Director 2114 BLUE STEM DRIVE, NEW HOPE PA 18938-2311
Leeann Gephart officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 2260 HEIM HILL ROAD, MONTOURSVILLE PA 17754
Painter John P Ii director 571 HOWLAND HILL ROAD, WESTFIELD PA 16950
Thomas E. Freeman director 831 KELLYTOWN ROAD, MANSFIELD PA 16933
Janie M Hilifger director 830 CANADA ROAD, COVINGTON PA 16917
Graham Roger C Jr director 1281 BRAGUE ROAD, CANTON PA 17724
Christopher W Kunes director 3896 PENNS VALLEY ROAD, SPRING MILLS PA 16875
Dwight D Rohrer officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT 2385 JUNCTION ROAD, MANHEIM PA 17545
Marina K Smalanskas officer: SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT 1445 ROCKY WAY, MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Sean P Mckinney officer: VICE PRESIDENT 11 TOWER LANE, GRANTVILLE PA 17028