DMK Pharmaceuticals (DMK Pharmaceuticals) Predictability Rank

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What is DMK Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DMK Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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DMK Pharmaceuticals (DMK Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » DMK Pharmaceuticals Corp (OTCPK:DMKPQ) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0A4X:UK

Address

11682 El Camino Real, Suite 300, San Diego, CA, USA, 92130

Website

https://www.adamispharmaceuticals.com

DMK Pharmaceuticals Corp Formerly Adamis Pharmaceuticals Corp is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing products in various therapeutic areas, including allergy, opioid overdose, respiratory and inflammatory disease. Its products and product candidates in the allergy, respiratory, and opioid overdose markets include SYMJEPI (epinephrine) Injection 0.3mg and Injection 0.15mg for use in the emergency treatment of acute allergic reactions, including anaphylaxis; a naloxone injection product candidate, ZIMHI, based on the approved Symject injection device and intended for the treatment of opioid overdose; Tempol, an investigational drug; and a Beclomethasone metered dose inhaler product candidate (APC-400) intended for the treatment of Covid-19.

Executives

Dorbin John W. Jr.	officer: General Counsel	C/O ARCIMOTO, INC., 2034 WEST 2ND AVENUE, EUGENE OR 97402
Seth Cohen	officer: CFO	C/O NEWTEK BUSINESS SERVICES,INC, 1440 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Ebrahim Versi	director, officer: CEO	11682 EL CAMINO REAL, STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Jannine Versi	director	11682 EL CAMINO REAL, STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Vickie S Reed	director	TORREYPINES THERAPEUTICS, INC., 11085 NORTH TORREY PINES RD, STE 300, LA JOLLA CA 92037
David J. Marguglio	director	2658 DEL MAR HEIGHTS RD., #555, DEL MAR CA 92014
Carlo Dennis J Phd	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President/CEO	PO BOX 1176, RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067
Ronald B. Moss	officer: Chief Medical Officer	11682 EL CAMINO REAL STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
David C. Benedicto	officer: Chief Financial Officer	11682 EL CAMINO REAL, STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Meera J. Desai	director	1682 EL CAMINO REAL, STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Robert O Hopkins	officer: Chief Financial Officer	2658 DEL MAR HEIGHTS RD., #555, DEL MAR CA 92014
Karen K. Daniels	officer: Vice President of Operations	11455 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 310, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Howard C Birndorf	director	C/O NANOGEN INC, 10398 PACIFIC CENTER COURT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Roshawn A. Blunt	director	11682 EL CAMINO REAL STE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Richard C Williams	director	26001 OSPREY NEST COURT, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134