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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Doral Financial's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Doral Financial was 0.00. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 0.00.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Doral Financial for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.002 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.0004 | + | 0.892 * 0.9536 | + | 0.115 * 1.0887 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.2095 | + | 4.679 * -0.033781 | - | 0.327 * 0.9718 | |||||||
= | -2.69 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec13) TTM: | Last Year (Dec12) TTM: |
Total Receivables was €52.3 Mil. Revenue was 52.044 + 57.397 + 50.499 + 66.387 = €226.3 Mil. Gross Profit was 52.044 + 57.397 + 50.499 + 66.387 = €226.3 Mil. Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil. Total Assets was €6,200.2 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €66.4 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €8.7 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €129.8 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,772.5 Mil. Net Income was -42.392 + -5.602 + -7.845 + -9.555 = €-65.4 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 18.76 + 73.687 + 4.616 + 46.992 = €144.1 Mil. |
Total Receivables was €54.7 Mil. Revenue was 61.189 + 59.795 + 59.697 + 56.661 = €237.3 Mil. Gross Profit was 61.189 + 59.795 + 59.697 + 56.661 = €237.3 Mil. Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil. Total Assets was €6,461.1 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €71.6 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €10.4 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €112.6 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,900.8 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (52.253 / 226.327) | / | (54.686 / 237.342) | |
= | 0.230874 | / | 0.23041 | |
= | 1.002 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (237.342 / 237.342) | / | (226.327 / 226.327) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (0 + 66.423) / 6200.221) | / | (1 - (0 + 71.609) / 6461.076) | |
= | 0.989287 | / | 0.988917 | |
= | 1.0004 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 226.327 | / | 237.342 | |
= | 0.9536 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (10.357 / (10.357 + 71.609)) | / | (8.721 / (8.721 + 66.423)) | |
= | 0.126357 | / | 0.116057 | |
= | 1.0887 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (129.839 / 226.327) | / | (112.574 / 237.342) | |
= | 0.573679 | / | 0.474311 | |
= | 1.2095 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((1772.545 + 0) / 6200.221) | / | ((1900.79 + 0) / 6461.076) | |
= | 0.285884 | / | 0.294191 | |
= | 0.9718 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (-65.394 - 0 | - | 144.055) | / | 6200.221 | |
= | -0.033781 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Doral Financial has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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