AAP (Advance Auto Parts) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $5.77 (As of Mar. 2026)


AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc AAP
69 GF Score
Price $57.94
GF Value $52.12
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Advance Auto Parts AAP +5.71% 69 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.77 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates AAP with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $52.12 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-1.232. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.77 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Advance Auto Parts's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -13.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Advance Auto Parts was 14.00% per year. The lowest was -10.40% per year. And the median was 8.20% per year.

As of today (2026-06-24), Advance Auto Parts's current stock price is $57.94. Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $5.77. Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 10.04.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Advance Auto Parts was 34.44. The lowest was 4.65. And the median was 21.66.


Advance Auto Parts  (NYSE:AAP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=57.94/5.77
=10.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Advance Auto Parts was 34.44. The lowest was 4.65. And the median was 21.66.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.71 8.04 7.77 6.96 5.78

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.64 6.38 6.04 5.78 5.77

AAP vs DORM, ATMU, DAN: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


AAP
69GF Score
Advance Auto Parts Inc AAP
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Advance Auto Parts's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-1.232/330.2130*330.2130
=-1.232

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.964 241.018 1.321
201609 2.062 241.428 2.820
201612 0.554 241.432 0.758
201703 -0.408 243.801 -0.553
201706 2.364 244.955 3.187
201709 1.283 246.819 1.716
201712 2.306 246.524 3.089
201803 1.610 249.554 2.130
201806 3.538 251.989 4.636
201809 2.618 252.439 3.425
201812 0.558 251.233 0.733
201903 1.986 254.202 2.580
201906 3.298 256.143 4.252
201909 2.244 256.759 2.886
201912 -2.066 256.974 -2.655
202003 -1.042 258.115 -1.333
202006 5.486 257.797 7.027
202009 4.454 260.280 5.651
202012 1.257 260.474 1.594
202103 3.919 264.877 4.886
202106 5.943 271.696 7.223
202109 1.379 274.310 1.660
202112 1.324 278.802 1.568
202203 -2.751 287.504 -3.160
202206 4.395 296.311 4.898
202209 0.863 296.808 0.960
202212 3.122 296.797 3.474
202303 -7.936 301.836 -8.682
202306 2.693 305.109 2.915
202309 2.795 307.789 2.999
202312 3.460 306.746 3.725
202403 -0.719 312.332 -0.760
202406 0.735 314.175 0.773
202409 0.451 315.301 0.472
202412 -2.070 315.605 -2.166
202503 -3.289 319.799 -3.396
202506 -0.050 322.561 -0.051
202509 -1.267 324.800 -1.288
202512 -0.345 324.054 -0.352
202603 -1.232 330.213 -1.232

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.77 mean?
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.77 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Advance Auto Parts and its competitors.
Is Advance Auto Parts' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Advance Auto Parts' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.77. Overall, Advance Auto Parts has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Advance Auto Parts' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DORM and ATMU?
Advance Auto Parts' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $5.77 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Advance Auto Parts and its competitors. Advance Auto Parts's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Advance Auto Parts stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $52.12, compared to a current price of $57.94 — trading 11.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.77. Advance Auto Parts' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Advance Auto Parts (AAP), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $5.77 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advance Auto Parts stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $57.94 is trading 11.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $52.12. GuruFocus considers Advance Auto Parts to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AAP:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $5.77
  • GF Value™: $52.12 vs. price of $57.94 (11.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Advance Auto Parts Business Description

Address 4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto-parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations. About half of the firm's sales are geared toward the professional channel, with the remaining sales in the do-it-yourself market. Through its vast store footprint and distribution network, Advance manages thousands of stock-keeping units for various vehicle makes and models. The retailer primarily competes on inventory availability and service speed, making the operating efficiency of its hub-and-spoke distribution model critical to meeting customer needs.
69GF Score

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Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$57.94
Price
$52.12
GF Value