Granite Point Mortgage Trust (Granite Point Mortgage Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.38% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)

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What is Granite Point Mortgage Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Granite Point Mortgage Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.38%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Granite Point Mortgage Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Granite Point Mortgage Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Granite Point Mortgage Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Granite Point Mortgage Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Granite Point Mortgage Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-5.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.38%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Granite Point Mortgage Trust (NYSE:GPMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Granite Point Mortgage Trust (Granite Point Mortgage Trust) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc (NYSE:GPMT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

AOMR NREF REFI SEVN SACH IVR AAIC ORC AJX MITT NLY STWD AGNC RITM BXMT ABR RC CMTG ARI LADR

Traded in Other Exchanges

GPMTpA.PFD:USA G18:Germany

Address

3 Bryant Park, Suite 2400A, New York, NY, USA, 10036

Website

https://www.gpmtreit.com

Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc focuses on directly originating, investing in, and managing senior floating-rate commercial mortgage loans and other debt and debt-like commercial real estate investments. The company constructs its investment portfolio on a loan-by-loan basis, emphasizing rigorous credit underwriting, selectivity, and diversification, and assesses each investment from a fundamental value perspective relative to other opportunities available in the market. It typically provides intermediate-term bridge or transitional financing for a variety of purposes, including acquisitions, recapitalizations, refinancing, and a range of business plans, including lease-up, renovation, repositioning, and repurposing of the property.

Executives

John A Taylor	director, officer: President and CEO	3 BRYANT PARK, #2400A, NEW YORK NY 10036
Marcin Urbaszek	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3 BRYANT PARK, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Sheila K. Mcgrath	director	3 BRYANT PARK, SUITE 2400A, NEW YORK NY 10036
William Reid Sanders	director	C/O TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Stephen Alpart	officer: Chief Investment Officer	3 BRYANT PARK, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Steven Plust	officer: Chief Operating Officer	3 BRYANT PARK, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Michael J. Karber	officer: General Counsel and Secretary	3 BRYANT PARK, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Peter M. Morral	officer: Chief Development Officer	3 BRYANT PARK, SUITE 2400A, NEW YORK NY 10036
Devin Chen	director	650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Rebecca B Sandberg	officer: General Counsel and Secretary	1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Brian Taylor	director	C/O PINE RIVER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, 7TH FLOOR, MINNETONKA MN 55305
William Roth	director	TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Two Harbors Investment Corp.	10 percent owner	1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Capitol Acquisition Corp	10 percent owner	601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Two Harbors Operating Co Llc	10 percent owner	601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, MINNETONKA MN 55305