GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » CB Financial Services Inc (NAS:CBFV) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

CB Financial Services (CB Financial Services) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Jun. 11, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2003. Start your Free Trial

What is CB Financial Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



CB Financial Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


CB Financial Services  (NAS:CBFV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


CB Financial Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CB Financial Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CB Financial Services (CB Financial Services) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 North Market Street, Carmichaels, PA, USA, 15320
CB Financial Services Inc operates as a bank holding company. The company conducts its operations primarily through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Community Bank, a Pennsylvania-chartered commercial bank. The Bank offers products and services related to residential and commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, and consumer loans, as well as a range of deposit products for individuals and businesses in its market area. It operates in two operating units namely Community Banking and Insurance brokerage service segment. The bank generates its revenue in the form of interests.
Executives
Mark E. Fox director 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
John J Lacarte director 100 NORTH MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Charles R. Guthrie director 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
John Haines Montgomery director, officer: President and CEO 100 NORTH MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Richard B Boyer director FEDFIRST FINANCIAL CORPORATION, DONNER AT SIXTH STREET, MONESSEN PA 15062
Roberta Robinson Olejasz director 100 NORTH MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Karl G. Baily director 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Joseph N. Headlee director 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
David F. Pollock director 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
William G Petroplus director C/O FIRST WEST VIRGINIA BANCORP INC, P O BOX 6671, WHEELING WV 26003
Jonathan Bedway director 100 NORTH MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Ralph Burchianti officer: Senior Vice President 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Jamie L Prah officer: EVP and CFO 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 15320
Jennifer L George officer: EVP and COO 100 N. MARKET STREET, CARMICHAELS PA 16320
Patrick G Obrien director C/O FEDFIRST FINANCIAL CORPORATION, DONNER AT SIXTH STREET, MONESSEN PA 15062