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WSO (Watsco) Altman Z-Score : 11.29 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Watsco Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 11.3 is strong.

Watsco has a Altman Z-Score of 11.29, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watsco's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WSO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.4   Med: 8.49   Max: 12.76
Current: 11.3

During the past 13 years, Watsco's highest Altman Z-Score was 12.76. The lowest was 6.40. And the median was 8.49.


Watsco Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Watsco's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Watsco Altman Z-Score Chart

Watsco Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.11 10.85 10.23 8.45 12.76

Watsco Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.93 12.76 10.48 11.53 11.58

Competitive Comparison of Watsco's Altman Z-Score

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Watsco's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watsco's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Watsco's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watsco's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Watsco Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Watsco's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.487+1.4*0+3.3*0.1699+0.6*14.1595+1.0*1.653
=11.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $4,517 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,133 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $933 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 257.02 + 273.716 + 129.007 + 108.748 = $768 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 1 = $1 Mil.
Revenue was 2160.036 + 2139.328 + 1564.991 + 1603.197 = $7,468 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $19,195 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,356 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3132.992 - 933.149)/4517.476
=0.487

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/4517.476
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(768.491 - 1)/4517.476
=0.1699

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=19194.728/1355.605
=14.1595

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7467.552/4517.476
=1.653

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Watsco has a Altman Z-Score of 11.29 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Watsco  (NYSE:WSO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Watsco Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Watsco's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Watsco Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2665 South Bayshore Drive, Suite 901, Miami, FL, USA, 33133
Watsco is the largest heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products distributor in North America. The company primarily operates in the United States (90% of 2023 revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada (5% of sales) and Latin America (5% of sales). The company's customer base consists of more than 125,000 contractors that serve the replacement and new construction HVACR markets for residential and light commercial applications.
Executives
Ana Lopez-blazquez director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Valerie Schimel director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
John Alexander Macdonald director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Stephen F. Rush officer: EVP and COO 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
John Michael Custer director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Brian E. Keeley director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Steven Rubin director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Barry S Logan officer: Senior Vice President
Watsco Inc director 2665 SOUTH BAYSHORE DR, STE 901, COCONUT GROVE FL 33133
Jason Epstein director % COLUMBUS ACQUISITION CORP, 153 EAST 53RD STREET 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
United Technologies Corp /de/ 10 percent owner 1000 WILSON BLVD, ARLINGTON VA 22209
David C. Darnell director 100 NORTH TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28255
Paul F Manley director C/O GENTA INC., TWO VANWAY, BERKELEY HEIGHTS NJ 07922
Bob L Moss director
Denise Dickins director 1867 TRAVIS CIRCLE, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33406