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WSO (Watsco) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $217.17 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Watsco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Watsco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $217.17. The stock price of Watsco is $473.01. Therefore, Watsco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Watsco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

WSO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.33   Med: 1.87   Max: 2.53
Current: 2.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Watsco was 2.53. The lowest was 1.33. And the median was 1.87.

WSO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.16% of 128 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs WSO: 2.18

Watsco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Watsco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Watsco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Watsco Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 95.31 111.71 138.74 188.12 209.26

Watsco Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 201.51 209.26 193.17 194.25 217.17

Competitive Comparison of Watsco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Watsco's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Watsco's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Watsco's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Watsco's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Watsco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Watsco's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $444.28.

Watsco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*444.27696+2696.375*0.8)/40.339
=217.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Watsco  (NYSE:WSO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Watsco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=473.01/217.16538412732
=2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Watsco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Watsco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Watsco Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2665 South Bayshore Drive, Suite 901, Miami, FL, USA, 33133
Watsco is the largest heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products distributor in North America. The company primarily operates in the United States (90% of 2023 revenue) with significant exposure in the Sunbelt states. Watsco also has operations in Canada (5% of sales) and Latin America (5% of sales). The company's customer base consists of more than 125,000 contractors that serve the replacement and new construction HVACR markets for residential and light commercial applications.
Executives
Ana Lopez-blazquez director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Valerie Schimel director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
John Alexander Macdonald director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Stephen F. Rush officer: EVP and COO 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
John Michael Custer director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Brian E. Keeley director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Steven Rubin director 2665 S. BAYSHORE DRIVE, SUITE 901, MIAMI FL 33133
Barry S Logan officer: Senior Vice President
Watsco Inc director 2665 SOUTH BAYSHORE DR, STE 901, COCONUT GROVE FL 33133
Jason Epstein director % COLUMBUS ACQUISITION CORP, 153 EAST 53RD STREET 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
United Technologies Corp /de/ 10 percent owner 1000 WILSON BLVD, ARLINGTON VA 22209
David C. Darnell director 100 NORTH TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28255
Paul F Manley director C/O GENTA INC., TWO VANWAY, BERKELEY HEIGHTS NJ 07922
Bob L Moss director
Denise Dickins director 1867 TRAVIS CIRCLE, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33406

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