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Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) Altman Z-Score : 2.66 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.66 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Kohsai Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.66, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Kohsai Co is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7878' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.96   Med: 2.51   Max: 3.09
Current: 2.66

During the past 13 years, Kohsai Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.09. The lowest was 1.96. And the median was 2.51.


Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Chart

Kohsai Co Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.89 1.96 2.17 2.54 2.79

Kohsai Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.54 2.66 2.67 2.78 2.79

Competitive Comparison of Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Kohsai Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2896+1.4*0.1024+3.3*0.044+0.6*1.2407+1.0*1.2813
=2.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was 円2,752 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,081 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,284 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円282 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 44.716 + 35.268 + 20.212 + 15.631 = 円116 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.243 + -1.349 + -1.278 + -1.292 = 円-5 Mil.
Revenue was 933.535 + 938.237 + 787.347 + 866.672 = 円3,526 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円1,687 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円1,360 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2081.277 - 1284.472)/2751.632
=0.2896

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=281.719/2751.632
=0.1024

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(115.827 - -5.162)/2751.632
=0.044

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1687.196/1359.824
=1.2407

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3525.791/2751.632
=1.2813

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Kohsai Co has a Altman Z-Score of 2.66 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Kohsai Co  (TSE:7878) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Kohsai Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3049 Ryuji, Yamanashi prefecture, Kai-shi, JPN, 400-0194
Kohsai Co Ltd engages in the jewelry business. The company manufactures and sells of jewelry, metal accessories, and jewelry parts. It also provides property, casualty, and life insurance services. Its products include clasps, rings, pierce/catches, earrings, and pendants, men's cuff, rings and others.

Kohsai Co (TSE:7878) Headlines

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