The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.
Plum Creek Timber Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.40, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:
Plum Creek Timber Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score
For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry
For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.
Plum Creek Timber Co Altman Z-Score Calculation
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Plum Creek Timber Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
1.2
*
X1
+
1.4
*
X2
+
3.3
*
X3
+
0.6
*
X4
+
1.0
*
X5
=
1.2
*
-0.0882
+
1.4
*
-0.0766
+
3.3
*
0.0715
+
0.6
*
1.8136
+
1.0
*
0.2896
=
1.40
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.
Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones
Plum Creek Timber Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.40 indicating it is in Distress Zones.
Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.
Plum Creek Timber Co (NYSE:PCL) Altman Z-Score Explanation
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.
X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.
Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.
Plum Creek Timber Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms
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Plum Creek Timber Co (Plum Creek Timber Co) Business Description
Plum Creek Timber Co Inc was incorporated in Delaware. It is a real estate investment trust. The Company owned approximately 6.6 million acres of timberlands located in 19 states. It manages its timberlands in two business segments: the Northern Resources Segment, consisting of timberlands in Maine, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, Oregon, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin; and the Southern Resources Segment, consisting of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas, and Virginia. In addition, its Energy and Natural Resources Segment includes its natural resource businesses that focus on opportunities for oil and natural gas production, construction aggregates and mineral extraction, wind power and communication and transportation rights of way. The Company's real estate segment includes development of certain properties, internally and through joint venture arrangements. The Company's manufacturing segment, also conducted through its wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries, includes two lumber mills, two plywood mills and two medium density fiberboard ("MDF") production lines in Montana and one lumber remanufacturing facility in Idaho. Some of its real estate activities, including its real estate development business, are conducted through its wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries. As of December 31, 2014, the Northern Resources Segment encompassed approximately 3.1 million acres of timberlands and the Southern Resources Segment consisted of approximately 3.6 million acres of timberlands. In its Real Estate Segment, the Company competes with numerous sellers of entitled and unentitled land in hundreds of local markets. The Company's operations are subject to federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations, including laws relating to water, air, solid waste and hazardous substances and the requirements of the Federal Occupational Safety and Health Act and comparable state statutes relating to the health and safety of its employees.
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