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Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) Altman Z-Score : 2.05 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Hindalco Industries Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.05 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Hindalco Industries has a Altman Z-Score of 2.05, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Hindalco Industries is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:HINDALCO' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86   Med: 1.64   Max: 2.11
Current: 2.05

During the past 13 years, Hindalco Industries's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.11. The lowest was 0.86. And the median was 1.64.


Hindalco Industries Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Hindalco Industries Altman Z-Score Chart

Hindalco Industries Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.69 1.35 1.53 2.05 2.11

Hindalco Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.88 2.11 2.04 1.85 2.01

Competitive Comparison of Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Hindalco Industries Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Hindalco Industries's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1273+1.4*0+3.3*0.074+0.6*1.1708+1.0*0.9547
=2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was ₹2,247,410 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₹860,390 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₹574,190 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ₹0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 33280 + 32310 + 33170 + 28390 = ₹127,150 Mil.
Interest Expense was -9440 + -10340 + -9920 + -9420 = ₹-39,120 Mil.
Revenue was 528080 + 541690 + 529910 + 545920 = ₹2,145,600 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ₹1,466,202 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ₹1,252,350 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(860390 - 574190)/2247410
=0.1273

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/2247410
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(127150 - -39120)/2247410
=0.074

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1466202.086/1252350
=1.1708

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2145600/2247410
=0.9547

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Hindalco Industries has a Altman Z-Score of 2.05 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Hindalco Industries  (NSE:HINDALCO) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Hindalco Industries Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Pandurang Budhkar Road, Birla Centurion, 6th & 7th Floor, Worli, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400030
Hindalco Industries Ltd extracts raw materials and produces and sells industrial metals in the below segments: Copper, Aluminum Upstream and Aluminium Downstream, Novelis, and all other Segment. The Copper segment purchases raw materials and produces continuous cast copper rods, copper cathodes, sulphuric acid, gold, and silver. The firm hedges its copper and other precious metals costs through futures contracts in an attempt to match commodity price changes between the time it purchases the raw materials and sells the finished products. The Aluminum segment mines bauxite and produces hydrate and alumina, aluminum, and aluminum-based products. The majority of Hindalco's revenue comes from India. The firm is also expanding internationally with sales and operations worldwide.

Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) Headlines

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