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Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₹931.19 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Hindalco Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-17), Hindalco Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹931.19. The stock price of Hindalco Industries is ₹653.35. Therefore, Hindalco Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hindalco Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:HINDALCO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.76   Max: 1.92
Current: 0.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hindalco Industries was 1.92. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.76.

NSE:HINDALCO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.47% of 586 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.355 vs NSE:HINDALCO: 0.70

Hindalco Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hindalco Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hindalco Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hindalco Industries Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 365.89 467.97 590.11 803.92 931.19

Hindalco Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 931.19 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Hindalco Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aluminum subindustry, Hindalco Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hindalco Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Hindalco Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hindalco Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hindalco Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hindalco Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₹88,422.54.

Hindalco Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*88422.542857143+948060*0.8)/2225.807
=931.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hindalco Industries  (NSE:HINDALCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hindalco Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=653.35/931.1865760672
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hindalco Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Pandurang Budhkar Road, Birla Centurion, 6th & 7th Floor, Worli, Mumbai, MH, IND, 400030
Hindalco Industries Ltd extracts raw materials and produces and sells industrial metals in the below segments: Copper, Aluminum Upstream and Aluminium Downstream, Novelis, and all other Segment. The Copper segment purchases raw materials and produces continuous cast copper rods, copper cathodes, sulphuric acid, gold, and silver. The firm hedges its copper and other precious metals costs through futures contracts in an attempt to match commodity price changes between the time it purchases the raw materials and sells the finished products. The Aluminum segment mines bauxite and produces hydrate and alumina, aluminum, and aluminum-based products. The majority of Hindalco's revenue comes from India. The firm is also expanding internationally with sales and operations worldwide.

Hindalco Industries (NSE:HINDALCO) Headlines

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