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Blyth (FRA:BY3N) Altman Z-Score : 4.70 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Blyth Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Blyth has a Altman Z-Score of 4.70, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blyth's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:BY3N' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.22   Med: 4.83   Max: 13.9
Current: 4.82

During the past 13 years, Blyth's highest Altman Z-Score was 13.90. The lowest was 3.22. And the median was 4.83.


Blyth Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blyth's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blyth Altman Z-Score Chart

Blyth Annual Data
Trend Jan05 Jan06 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.43 4.78 5.12 4.20 4.55

Blyth Quarterly Data
Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.68 4.86 4.55 5.10 4.85

Competitive Comparison of Blyth's Altman Z-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Blyth's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blyth's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Blyth's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blyth's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Blyth Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Blyth's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3246+1.4*1.5974+3.3*-0.0517+0.6*0.7069+1.0*1.8204
=4.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2015:
Total Assets was €213.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €131.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €61.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €340.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -7.214 + -11.594 + 11.602 + -10.57 = €-17.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.704 + -2.033 + -2.513 + -1.515 = €-6.8 Mil.
Revenue was 78.398 + 95.843 + 143.382 + 70.424 = €388.0 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €82.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €116.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(130.992 - 61.792)/213.161
=0.3246

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=340.508/213.161
=1.5974

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-17.776 - -6.765)/213.161
=-0.0517

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=82.564/116.805
=0.7069

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=388.047/213.161
=1.8204

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Blyth has a Altman Z-Score of 4.70 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Blyth  (FRA:BY3N) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Blyth Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Blyth (FRA:BY3N) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Blyth Inc was incorporated on September 9, 1977. The Company is a multi-channel company focused on the direct to consumer market. The Company designs and markets home fragrance products and decorative accessories, as well as weight management products, nutritional supplements and energy drinks. Its products include decorative and functional household products such as candles, accessories, seasonal decorations, household convenience items and personalized gifts; nutritional supplements such as meal replacement shakes, vitamins and energy mixes; as well as products for the foodservice trade. Its products can be found throughout North America, Europe and Australia. The Company has three business segments the Health and Wellness segment, the Candles and Home Decor segment and the Catalog and Internet segment. Within the Health and Wellness segment, it operates ViSalus, which is sells meal replacement shakes, nutritional supplements, nutritional cookies and energy drinks. Products in this segment are sold through networks of independent sales promoters in the United States and Canada. Within the Candles and Home Decor segment, it designs, manufactures or sources, markets and distributes a line of products including scented candles, candle-related accessories and other fragranced products under the PartyLite brand. PartyLite also offers gourmet foods under the Two Sisters Gourmet by PartyLite brand name. Products in this segment are sold through networks of independent sales consultants. PartyLite brand products are sold in North America, Europe and Australia. Within the Catalog and Internet segment, it designs, sources and markets household convenience items, holiday cards, personalized gifts, kitchen accessories, premium photo albums and frames. These products are sold directly to consumers under the Miles Kimball, Walter Drake, Easy Comforts, As we Change and Exposures brands. These products are sold in North America. Competition in the Candles and Home Decor segment includes companies selling candles manufactured at lower costs through direct selling and retail channels. Competition in the Health and Wellness segment includes companies selling competitive nutritional supplements and weight-loss management products through direct selling and retail channels. In the Health and Wellness and the Candles and Home Decor segments it competes for consultants or promoters with other direct selling companies, both those that sell similar products and those that sell other types of products. The Companys direct selling and network marketing programs are subject to federal and state regulations administered by the FTC and various state agencies as well as regulations in foreign markets administered by foreign agencies.

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