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Navistar International (Navistar International) Altman Z2-Score : -1.66 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Navistar International Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Navistar International has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.66, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:


Navistar International Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Navistar International Altman Z2-Score Chart

Navistar International Annual Data
Trend Oct11 Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20
Altman Z2-Score
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Navistar International Quarterly Data
Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21
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Competitive Comparison of Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Navistar International Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Navistar International's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1076+3.26*-0.634+6.72*0.009+1.05*-0.3399
=-1.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Apr. 2021:
Total Assets was $7,084 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,651 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,889 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-4,491 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 219 + -96 + -299 + -26 = $-202 Mil.
Interest Expense was -62 + -64 + -69 + -71 = $-266 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $10,724 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(4651 - 3889)/7084
=0.1076

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-4491/7084
=-0.634

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-202 - -266)/7084
=0.009

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-3643 - 2)/10724
=-0.3399

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Navistar International has a Altman Z2-Score of -1.66 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Navistar International  (NYSE:NAV) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Navistar International Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Navistar International (Navistar International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2701 Navistar Drive, Lisle, IL, USA, 60532
Navistar International Corp is a manufacturer of medium & heavy-duty trucks, school buses, military vehicles, and diesel engines. Its operating segments are Truck, which accounts for the majority revenue; Parts; Global Operations; and Financial Services. The company manufactures Class 4 through 8 trucks and buses in the common carrier, private carrier, government, leasing, construction, energy/petroleum, and student and commercial transportation markets under the International and IC brands. Its geographical segments include the United States, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, and others, of which the majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Dennis Suskind director ONE NORTH END AVENUE, WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, NEW YORK NY 10282
Rachesky Mark H Md director, 10 percent owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Raymond T. Miller director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 42ND FLOOR C/O MHR FUND MANAGEMENT NEW YORK NY 10105
Persio V Lisboa officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Jose Maria Alapont director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Andreas Renschler director C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Vincent J Intrieri director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
William V Mcmenamin officer: President Fin Serv & Treasurer C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Curt A Kramer officer: SVP & General Counsel 4201 WINFIELD ROAD WARRENVILLE IL 60555
Troy A Clarke director, officer: Chairman, President & CEO C/O FUEL SYSTEMS SOLUTIONS, INC., 780 THIRD AVE. 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Walter G Borst officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Samara A Strycker officer: SVP & Corporate Controller 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Richard E Bond officer: Corporate Secretary NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Christian Schulz director C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Daniel A Ninivaggi director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4600, NEW YORK NY 10153

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