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Navistar International (Navistar International) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-44.82 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Navistar International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-06), Navistar International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-44.82. The stock price of Navistar International is $44.50. Therefore, Navistar International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Navistar International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Navistar International was 24.12. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 1.76.

NAV's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry.
Industry Median: 1.22
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Navistar International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Navistar International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Navistar International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Navistar International Annual Data
Trend Oct11 Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -87.01 -71.91 -68.67 -59.61 -47.93

Navistar International Quarterly Data
Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -61.43 -53.55 -47.93 -50.71 -44.82

Competitive Comparison of Navistar International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Navistar International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Navistar International's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Navistar International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Navistar International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Navistar International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Navistar International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $6.56.

Navistar International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Apr21)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*6.56+-3643/0.8)/100.200
=-44.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Navistar International  (NYSE:NAV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Navistar International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=44.50/-44.823318298707
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Navistar International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Navistar International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Navistar International (Navistar International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2701 Navistar Drive, Lisle, IL, USA, 60532
Navistar International Corp is a manufacturer of medium & heavy-duty trucks, school buses, military vehicles, and diesel engines. Its operating segments are Truck, which accounts for the majority revenue; Parts; Global Operations; and Financial Services. The company manufactures Class 4 through 8 trucks and buses in the common carrier, private carrier, government, leasing, construction, energy/petroleum, and student and commercial transportation markets under the International and IC brands. Its geographical segments include the United States, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, and others, of which the majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Dennis Suskind director ONE NORTH END AVENUE, WORLD FINANCIAL CENTER, NEW YORK NY 10282
Rachesky Mark H Md director, 10 percent owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 24TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Raymond T. Miller director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 42ND FLOOR C/O MHR FUND MANAGEMENT NEW YORK NY 10105
Persio V Lisboa officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Jose Maria Alapont director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Andreas Renschler director C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Vincent J Intrieri director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
William V Mcmenamin officer: President Fin Serv & Treasurer C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Curt A Kramer officer: SVP & General Counsel 4201 WINFIELD ROAD WARRENVILLE IL 60555
Troy A Clarke director, officer: Chairman, President & CEO C/O FUEL SYSTEMS SOLUTIONS, INC., 780 THIRD AVE. 25TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Walter G Borst officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Samara A Strycker officer: SVP & Corporate Controller 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Richard E Bond officer: Corporate Secretary NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Christian Schulz director C/O NAVISTAR INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2701 NAVISTAR DRIVE LISLE IL 60532
Daniel A Ninivaggi director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4600, NEW YORK NY 10153