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AGBA Group Holding (AGBA Group Holding) Altman Z2-Score : -11.40 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is AGBA Group Holding Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

AGBA Group Holding has a Altman Z2-Score of -11.40, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AGBA' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.49   Med: -8.27   Max: 20.26
Current: -11.4

During the past 4 years, AGBA Group Holding's highest Altman Z2-Score was 20.26. The lowest was -11.49. And the median was -8.27.


AGBA Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AGBA Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Chart

AGBA Group Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
- 10.58 -4.26 -10.11

AGBA Group Holding Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.27 -8.49 -11.49 -10.11 -11.40

Competitive Comparison of AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score

For the Capital Markets subindustry, AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



AGBA Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

AGBA Group Holding's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.4084+3.26*-1.2052+6.72*-0.7202+1.05*0.047
=-11.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $61.12 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $23.11 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $48.07 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-73.66 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -8.023 + -13.396 + -12.865 + -10.559 = $-44.84 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.207 + 0.021 + -0.393 + -0.248 = $-0.83 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $58.37 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(23.107 - 48.068)/61.117
=-0.4084

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-73.661/61.117
=-1.2052

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-44.843 - -0.827)/61.117
=-0.7202

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(2.744 - 0)/58.373
=0.047

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

AGBA Group Holding has a Altman Z2-Score of -11.40 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


AGBA Group Holding  (NAS:AGBA) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


AGBA Group Holding Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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AGBA Group Holding (AGBA Group Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
68 Johnston Road, AGBA Tower, Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
AGBA Group Holding Ltd provides healthcare, wellness, financial advisory, and fintech services. The group is organized into four divisions: Platform, Distribution, Healthcare, and Fintech. The AGBA platform helps individual and corporate customers with better financial, medical, and healthcare service options. The AGBA is a unique omnichannel one-stop financial business solution platform that offers financial services, expands business opportunities, and enhances business productivity to licensed financial advisors, licensed brokers, and licensed financial institutions.
Executives
Yun Pun Wong director UNIT B, 11F, ON HING BUILDING, 1-9 ON HING TERRACE, CENTRAL HONG KONG F4 00000
Tag Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner TRUST TOWER, 68 JOHNSTON ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 000000
Wong Suet Fai Almond director TRUST TOWER, 68 JOHNSTON ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 000000
Wing Fai Ng director, officer: Chairman (PEO) and ED TRUST TOWER, 68 JOHNSTON ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 000000
Richard Kong officer: Deputy CFO/Company Secretary TRUST TOWER, 68 JOHNSTON ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 000000
Jeroen Nieuwkoop officer: Chief Strategy Officer TRUST TOWER, 68 JOHNSTON ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 000000
Shu Pei Huang Desmond officer: Acting Group CFO (PFO) TRUST TOWER, 68 JOHNSTON ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 000000
Mizuho Securities Usa Llc 10 percent owner 1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FLOORS - 2,3,4,18,19, NEW YORK NY 10020
Glazer Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH STREET, SUITE 30A, NEW YORK NY 10019
Paul J Glazer 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH ST, SUITE 30A, NEW YORK NY 10019
Eric Sc Lam director ROOM 1108, 11TH FLOOR, BLOCK B, NEW MANDARIN PLZ, 14 SCIENCE MUSEUM RD, TSIMSHATSUI EAST, KOWLOON K3 00000
Gordon Kk Lee director, officer: Chief Executive Officer ROOM 1108, 11TH FLOOR, BLOCK B, NEW MANDARIN PLZ, 14 SCIENCE MUSEUM RD, TSIMSHATSUI EAST, KOWLOON K3 100027
Vera Zl Tan director, officer: Chief Financial Officer ROOM 1108, 11TH FLOOR, BLOCKB, NEW MADISON PLZ, 14 SCIENCE MUSEUM RD, TSIMSHATSUI EAST, KOWLOON K3 100027
Ng Thomas Kwok On director ROOM1108, 11FL, BLOCK B, NEW MANDARIN PL, 14 SCIENCE MUSEUM RD, TSIMSHATSUI EAST, KOWLOON K3 00000
Chan Brian Chunhg Yau director ROOM1108, 11FL, BLOCK B, NEW MANDARIN PL, 14 SCIENCE MUSEUM RD, TSIMSHATSUI EAST, KOWLOON K3 00000