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TGT (Target) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 9.85% (As of Jul. 2024)


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What is Target Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Target's forward rate of return for was 9.85%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TGT' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.21   Med: 10.91   Max: 21.4
Current: 9.92

During the past 13 years, Target's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.40. The lowest was 7.21. And the median was 10.91.

TGT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
68.49% of 219 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 15.77 vs TGT: 9.92

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Target Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Target Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Target Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.31 9.30 18.84 16.51 12.08

Target Quarterly Data
Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.74 13.59 12.08 9.88 9.85

Competitive Comparison of Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Target Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Target's Forward Rate of Return of Jul. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=8.37580952/150.41+0.0428
=9.85 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Target  (NYSE:TGT) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Target Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Target's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Target Business Description

Industry
Address
1000 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55403
Target serves as the nation's seventh-largest retailer, with its strategy predicated on delivering a gratifying in-store shopping experience and a wide product assortment of trendy apparel, home goods, and household essentials at competitive prices. Target's upscale and stylish image began to carry national merit in the 1990s—a decade in which the brand saw its top line grow threefold to almost $30 billion—and has since cemented itself as a leading US retailer.Today, Target operates over 1,950 stores in the United States, generates over $100 billion in sales, and fulfills over 2 billion customer orders annually. The firm's vast physical footprint is typically concentrated in urban and suburban markets as the firm seeks to attract a more affluent consumer base.
Executives
Matthew A Liegel officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Brian C Cornell director, officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Don H Liu officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-3155, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Christina Hennington officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Melissa K Kremer officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Cara A Sylvester officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Matthew L Zabel officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-3155, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Michael J Fiddelke officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
John J Mulligan officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-2672, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Grace Puma Whiteford director C/O WILLIAM SONOMA, INC., 3250 VAN NESS AVENUE, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94109
Jill Sando officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Katie M Boylan officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Robert M Harrison officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Richard H. Gomez officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Gail Boudreaux director GENZYME CORP., 500 KENDALL STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142