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TGT (Target) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $131.46 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Target Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Target's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $131.46. The stock price of Target is $150.04. Therefore, Target's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Target's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TGT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.76   Med: 1.13   Max: 1.78
Current: 1.14

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Target was 1.78. The lowest was 0.76. And the median was 1.13.

TGT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
65% of 220 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs TGT: 1.14

Target Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Target's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Target Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Target Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 100.71 133.92 163.98 140.68 134.07

Target Quarterly Data
Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 127.82 124.64 134.07 126.72 131.46

Competitive Comparison of Target's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Target's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Target's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Target's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Target's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Target Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Target's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,863.68.

Target's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jul24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.782718065916*3863.68+14429*0.8)/463.500
=131.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Target  (NYSE:TGT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Target's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=150.04/131.45961626088
=1.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Target Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Target's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Target Business Description

Address
1000 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55403
Target serves as the nation's seventh-largest retailer, with its strategy predicated on delivering a gratifying in-store shopping experience and a wide product assortment of trendy apparel, home goods, and household essentials at competitive prices. Target's upscale and stylish image began to carry national merit in the 1990s—a decade in which the brand saw its top line grow threefold to almost $30 billion—and has since cemented itself as a leading US retailer.Today, Target operates over 1,950 stores in the United States, generates over $100 billion in sales, and fulfills over 2 billion customer orders annually. The firm's vast physical footprint is typically concentrated in urban and suburban markets as the firm seeks to attract a more affluent consumer base.
Executives
Matthew A Liegel officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Brian C Cornell director, officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Don H Liu officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-3155, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Christina Hennington officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Melissa K Kremer officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Cara A Sylvester officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Matthew L Zabel officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-3155, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Michael J Fiddelke officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
John J Mulligan officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, TPS-2672, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Grace Puma Whiteford director C/O WILLIAM SONOMA, INC., 3250 VAN NESS AVENUE, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94109
Jill Sando officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Katie M Boylan officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Robert M Harrison officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Richard H. Gomez officer: Executive Officer 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
Gail Boudreaux director GENZYME CORP., 500 KENDALL STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142