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PSX (Phillips 66) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Phillips 66 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Phillips 66's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

PSX' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.3   Med: 3.47   Max: 17.22
Current: -2.29

During the past 13 years, Phillips 66's highest Forward Rate of Return was 17.22. The lowest was -6.30. And the median was 3.47.

PSX's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
75.4% of 569 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 14.28 vs PSX: -2.29

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Phillips 66 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phillips 66 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
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Competitive Comparison of Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Phillips 66 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.63485714/131.45+-0.0445
=-2.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Phillips 66  (NYSE:PSX) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Phillips 66 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phillips 66's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Phillips 66 Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner with 12 refineries that have a total crude throughput capacity of 1.8 million barrels per day, or mmb/d. In 2023, the Rodeo, California, facility ceased operations and be converted to produce renewable diesel. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets and includes DCP Midstream, which holds 600 mbd of NGL fractionation and 22,000 miles of pipeline. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities in the United States and the Middle East and primarily produces olefins and polyolefins.
Executives
Kevin J Mitchell officer: Exec. VP, Finance and CFO 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Timothy D. Roberts officer: Executive Vice President C/O PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP, 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Joseph Scott Pruitt officer: Vice President and Controller 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Richard G Harbison officer: Senior VP, Refining 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Zhanna Golodryga officer: Executive Vice President PO BOX 10247, BIRMINGHAM AL 35202-0247
Vanessa Allen Sutherland officer: EVP, GC and Secretary 650 W PEACHTREE ST NW, ATLANTA GA 30308
Greg C. Garland officer: Chairman, Pres. and CEO-Desig 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Brian Mandell officer: Senior Vice President 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Gregory Hayes director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Paula Ann Johnson officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec (Desig) 600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
Robert A Herman officer: Executive Vice President 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, 9TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042
Douglas T Terreson director 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Denise R Singleton director 3100 SANDERS ROAD, SUITE 301, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Mark E Lashier officer: President and COO 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Charles M Holley director