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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-10-31), Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $156.34. The stock price of Phillips 66 is $121.82. Therefore, Phillips 66's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.
The historical rank and industry rank for Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Phillips 66 was 1.58. The lowest was 0.71. And the median was 1.12.
The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Phillips 66 Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 70.93 | 57.79 | 69.95 | 120.06 | 151.81 |
Phillips 66 Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 143.33 | 151.81 | 147.28 | 157.10 | 156.34 |
For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Phillips 66's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,536.16.
Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (12.018181128481 | * | 3536.16 | + | 28722 | * | 0.8) | / | 418.803 | |
= | 156.34 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Phillips 66's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 121.82 | / | 156.34035902152 | |
= | 0.78 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Kevin J Mitchell | officer: Exec. VP, Finance and CFO | 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Timothy D. Roberts | officer: Executive Vice President | C/O PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP, 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Joseph Scott Pruitt | officer: Vice President and Controller | 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Richard G Harbison | officer: Senior VP, Refining | 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Zhanna Golodryga | officer: Executive Vice President | PO BOX 10247, BIRMINGHAM AL 35202-0247 |
Vanessa Allen Sutherland | officer: EVP, GC and Secretary | 650 W PEACHTREE ST NW, ATLANTA GA 30308 |
Greg C. Garland | officer: Chairman, Pres. and CEO-Desig | 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Brian Mandell | officer: Senior Vice President | 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202 |
Gregory Hayes | director | 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451 |
Paula Ann Johnson | officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec (Desig) | 600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079 |
Robert A Herman | officer: Executive Vice President | 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, 9TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Douglas T Terreson | director | 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Denise R Singleton | director | 3100 SANDERS ROAD, SUITE 301, NORTHBROOK IL 60062 |
Mark E Lashier | officer: President and COO | 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042 |
Charles M Holley | director |
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