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SCG Packaging PCL (BKK:SCGP-R) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 15.08% (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is SCG Packaging PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. SCG Packaging PCL's forward rate of return for was 15.08%.

The historical rank and industry rank for SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SCGP-R' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.63   Med: 16.06   Max: 25
Current: 14.53

During the past 10 years, SCG Packaging PCL's highest Forward Rate of Return was 25.00. The lowest was 11.63. And the median was 16.06.

BKK:SCGP-R's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
67.67% of 300 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 8.555 vs BKK:SCGP-R: 14.53

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


SCG Packaging PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SCG Packaging PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

SCG Packaging PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 19.21

SCG Packaging PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 24.51 19.21 15.08

Competitive Comparison of SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



SCG Packaging PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.92247619/39.3152+0.0833
=13.22 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SCG Packaging PCL  (BKK:SCGP-R) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


SCG Packaging PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SCG Packaging PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SCG Packaging PCL (BKK:SCGP-R) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Siam Cement Road, Bangsue, Bangkok, THA, 10800
SCG Packaging PCL is an integrated packaging solutions provider. Its business is divided into three business segments: Integrated Packaging Business, Fibrous Business and Recycling Business and Others. The company's products and services include Packaging; Smart packaging; Food container products; Paper and pulp; Wood business; Design services; Service for marketing activities; and Wastepaper purchase service For recycling. Majority of the firm's revenue gets derived from the Integrated Packaging Business segment that manufactures and sells packaging paper, various types of packaging, including fiber-based packaging and performance and polymer packaging, flexible packaging, and rigid packaging. Key revenue comes from domestic sales in Thailand.

SCG Packaging PCL (BKK:SCGP-R) Headlines

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