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SCG Packaging PCL (BKK:SCGP-R) Beneish M-Score : -2.87 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is SCG Packaging PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:SCGP-R' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.1   Med: -2.46   Max: -1.63
Current: -2.87

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of SCG Packaging PCL was -1.63. The lowest was -3.10. And the median was -2.46.


SCG Packaging PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SCG Packaging PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

SCG Packaging PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.63 -2.67 -1.76 -2.59 -3.03

SCG Packaging PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -3.04 -3.10 -3.03 -2.87

Competitive Comparison of SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SCG Packaging PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



SCG Packaging PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of SCG Packaging PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1923+0.528 * 0.9039+0.404 * 1.0031+0.892 * 0.9054+0.115 * 1.0806
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0894+4.679 * -0.067021-0.327 * 1.3518
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿25,495 Mil.
Revenue was 33947.685 + 31880.819 + 31572.656 + 32215.983 = ฿129,617 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6801.629 + 5702.196 + 5607.768 + 5865.724 = ฿23,977 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿64,528 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿206,320 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿97,016 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿9,177 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿14,380 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿69,899 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿23,299 Mil.
Net Income was 1724.651 + 1218.589 + 1324.274 + 1484.777 = ฿5,752 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 80.173 + -64.311 + -74.469 + 121.01 = ฿62 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3052.65 + 5134.01 + 6428.162 + 4902.812 = ฿19,518 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿23,618 Mil.
Revenue was 33728.631 + 33508.603 + 37943.189 + 37982.02 = ฿143,162 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5948.468 + 4883.714 + 6425.383 + 6679.334 = ฿23,937 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿60,842 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿198,506 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿94,718 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿9,756 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿14,580 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿34,914 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿31,420 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(25495.323 / 129617.143) / (23618.13 / 143162.443)
=0.196697 / 0.164974
=1.1923

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(23936.899 / 143162.443) / (23977.317 / 129617.143)
=0.167201 / 0.184986
=0.9039

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (64527.915 + 97016.254) / 206319.507) / (1 - (60841.638 + 94718.258) / 198506.402)
=0.217019 / 0.216348
=1.0031

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=129617.143 / 143162.443
=0.9054

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9755.564 / (9755.564 + 94718.258)) / (9176.514 / (9176.514 + 97016.254))
=0.093378 / 0.086414
=1.0806

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14380.263 / 129617.143) / (14580.143 / 143162.443)
=0.110944 / 0.101843
=1.0894

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((23298.657 + 69899.443) / 206319.507) / ((31419.91 + 34914.046) / 198506.402)
=0.451717 / 0.334165
=1.3518

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5752.291 - 62.403 - 19517.634) / 206319.507
=-0.067021

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

SCG Packaging PCL has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


SCG Packaging PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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SCG Packaging PCL (BKK:SCGP-R) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Siam Cement Road, Bangsue, Bangkok, THA, 10800
SCG Packaging PCL is an integrated packaging solutions provider. Its business is divided into three business segments: Integrated Packaging Business, Fibrous Business and Recycling Business and Others. The company's products and services include Packaging; Smart packaging; Food container products; Paper and pulp; Wood business; Design services; Service for marketing activities; and Wastepaper purchase service For recycling. Majority of the firm's revenue gets derived from the Integrated Packaging Business segment that manufactures and sells packaging paper, various types of packaging, including fiber-based packaging and performance and polymer packaging, flexible packaging, and rigid packaging. Key revenue comes from domestic sales in Thailand.

SCG Packaging PCL (BKK:SCGP-R) Headlines

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