LiveRamp Holdings (LiveRamp Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is LiveRamp Holdings Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

LiveRamp Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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LiveRamp Holdings (LiveRamp Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » LiveRamp Holdings Inc (NYSE:RAMP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

XIM:Germany

Address

225 Bush Street, Seventeenth Floor, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94104

Website

https://www.liveramp.com

LiveRamp's cloud-based software helps businesses combine their data (first-party data) about customer touch points such as on webpages, mobile apps, in stores, and on other devices with data from other sources to get a better view of a current or potential customer's activity. Such combined data can help businesses and advertisers create better profiles of their customers. The software is also used by publishers to easily combine their data with that of advertisers, helping them to optimize their ad inventory. LiveRamp generates revenue through a one-year subscription model (around 80% of total revenue) for its software. The firm also provides a marketplace for third-party data owners and data buyers, around 20% of total revenue.

Executives

Timothy R. Cadogan	director	2210 MIDLOTHIAN DRIVE, ALTADENA CA 91001
Jerry C Jones	officer: Chief Legal Officer &	301 E. DAVE WARD DRIVE, CONWAY AR 72032
Mohsin Hussain	officer: Chief Technology Officer	225 BUSH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Charles Brian O'kelley	director	225 BUSH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Lauren R Dillard	officer: SVP Finance & IR; Interim CFO	225 BUSH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Warren Jenson	officer: PRESIDENT, CFO & EMD-INT'L	30 FREDRICK AVE, ATHERTON CA 94027
Debora B Tomlin	director	6550 OAK LEAF COURT, YOUNTVILLE CA 94599
John L. Battelle	director	PO BOX 606, 49 GLENWOOD AVE, ROSS CA 94957
Clark M Kokich	director	506 SECOND AVE 9TH FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98104
Scott E Howe	director, officer: CEO & President	740 JACARANDA CIRCLE, HILLSBOROUGH CA 94010
Diego Panama	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O OLO INC., 99 HUDSON STREET, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
David R. Pann	officer: Chief Product Officer	225 BUSH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Omar Tawakol	director	225 BUSH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
James F. Arra	officer: DIVISIONAL CO-PRESIDENT	2430 STAFFORD ROAD, THOUSAND OAKS CA 91361
Kamakshi Sivaramakrishnan	director	20880 STONE OAK PARKWAY, SAN ANTONIO TX 78258