Ivanhoe Electric (Ivanhoe Electric) Predictability Rank

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What is Ivanhoe Electric Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Ivanhoe Electric Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Ivanhoe Electric (Ivanhoe Electric) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Ivanhoe Electric Inc (AMEX:IE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

IE:Canada

Address

606?–?999 Canada Place, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3E1

Website

https://www.ivanhoeelectric.com

Ivanhoe Electric Inc is a United States-based minerals exploration and development company with a focus on developing mines from mineral deposits located in the United States. The company has three reportable segments; Critical metals segment is focused on mineral project exploration and development with a focus on identifying and developing mineral projects, and ultimately mines, associated with the metals necessary for electrification, The data processing segment provides data analytics, geophysical modeling, and artificial intelligence services for the mineral, oil & gas and water exploration industries, and The energy storage segment develops, manufactures and installs vanadium flow batteries for grid-scale energy storage. It derives a majority of its revenue from Canada.

Executives

Taylor Melvin	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Stephani Terhorst	officer: Vice President Human Resources	1605 CROWN POINT ROAD, MCKINNEY TX 75072
Sofia Bianchi	director	P.O. BOX 68861, RIYADH T0 11537
Catherine Anne Barone	officer: Chief Financial Officer	63 CLIFFWOOD DR, PORT MOODY A1 V3H 5J8
Ronald J Vance	director	C/O ROYAL GOLD, 1144 15TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Gibson Mark Andrew Stuart	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1101, 172 VICTORY SHIP WAY, NORTH VANCOUVER A1 V7L 0B5
Boyd Graham Richard Thomas	officer: Vice President, US Projects	1254 E 15TH AVE, VANCOUVER A1 V5T 2S8
Young Evan James Macmillan	officer: VP, Corporate Development	123 LANGLEY AVENUE, TORONTO A6 M4K 1B6
Patrick Loftus-hills	director	606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Cassandra Pulskamp Joseph	officer: VP, Gen Counsel and Corp Sec	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Quentin Markin	officer: See Remarks	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Robert M Friedland	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	150 BEACH ROAD #25-03, THE GATEWAY WEST, SINGAPORE U0 189720
Jordan Neeser	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
I-pulse Inc.	10 percent owner	150 BEACH ROAD #25-003, THE GATEWAY WEST, SINGAPORE U0 189720
Glen Nickolas Kuntz	officer: Chief Tech & Innovation Off.	4300 LOCH LOMOND ROAD, THUNDER BAY A6 P7J 1N9