Ivanhoe Electric (Ivanhoe Electric) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-26.95 (As of May. 24, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Ivanhoe Electric Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-24), Ivanhoe Electric's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-26.95.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Ivanhoe Electric's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Ivanhoe Electric is N/A.

The industry rank for Ivanhoe Electric's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

IE's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.15
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Ivanhoe Electric Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ivanhoe Electric's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ivanhoe Electric Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Ivanhoe Electric Annual Data

Trend

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Ivanhoe Electric Quarterly Data
	Dec19	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23	Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial										-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Ivanhoe Electric's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Copper subindustry, Ivanhoe Electric's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ivanhoe Electric's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Ivanhoe Electric's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ivanhoe Electric's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Ivanhoe Electric Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Ivanhoe Electric's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -74.40%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-2.335.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Ivanhoe Electric's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-2.335

11.5406

-26.95

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(-26.95	-	11.25)	/	-26.95
	=	N/A

Ivanhoe Electric (AMEX:IE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Ivanhoe Electric Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ivanhoe Electric's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Ivanhoe Electric (Ivanhoe Electric) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Ivanhoe Electric Inc (AMEX:IE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

IE:Canada

Address

606?–?999 Canada Place, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3E1

Website

https://www.ivanhoeelectric.com

Ivanhoe Electric Inc is a United States-based minerals exploration and development company with a focus on developing mines from mineral deposits located in the United States. The company has three reportable segments; Critical metals segment is focused on mineral project exploration and development with a focus on identifying and developing mineral projects, and ultimately mines, associated with the metals necessary for electrification, The data processing segment provides data analytics, geophysical modeling, and artificial intelligence services for the mineral, oil & gas and water exploration industries, and The energy storage segment develops, manufactures and installs vanadium flow batteries for grid-scale energy storage. It derives a majority of its revenue from Canada.

Executives

Taylor Melvin	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Stephani Terhorst	officer: Vice President Human Resources	1605 CROWN POINT ROAD, MCKINNEY TX 75072
Sofia Bianchi	director	P.O. BOX 68861, RIYADH T0 11537
Catherine Anne Barone	officer: Chief Financial Officer	63 CLIFFWOOD DR, PORT MOODY A1 V3H 5J8
Ronald J Vance	director	C/O ROYAL GOLD, 1144 15TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Gibson Mark Andrew Stuart	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1101, 172 VICTORY SHIP WAY, NORTH VANCOUVER A1 V7L 0B5
Boyd Graham Richard Thomas	officer: Vice President, US Projects	1254 E 15TH AVE, VANCOUVER A1 V5T 2S8
Young Evan James Macmillan	officer: VP, Corporate Development	123 LANGLEY AVENUE, TORONTO A6 M4K 1B6
Patrick Loftus-hills	director	606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Cassandra Pulskamp Joseph	officer: VP, Gen Counsel and Corp Sec	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Quentin Markin	officer: See Remarks	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
Robert M Friedland	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	150 BEACH ROAD #25-03, THE GATEWAY WEST, SINGAPORE U0 189720
Jordan Neeser	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O IVANHOE ELECTRIC INC., 606-999 CANADA PLACE, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 3E1
I-pulse Inc.	10 percent owner	150 BEACH ROAD #25-003, THE GATEWAY WEST, SINGAPORE U0 189720
Glen Nickolas Kuntz	officer: Chief Tech & Innovation Off.	4300 LOCH LOMOND ROAD, THUNDER BAY A6 P7J 1N9