GEN Restaurant Group (GEN Restaurant Group) Predictability Rank

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What is GEN Restaurant Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

GEN Restaurant Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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GEN Restaurant Group (GEN Restaurant Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » GEN Restaurant Group Inc (NAS:GENK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

11480 South Street, Suite 205, Cerritos, CA, USA, 90703

Website

https://www.genkoreanbbq.com

GEN Restaurant Group Inc is engaged in GEN Korean BBQ which is one of the largest Asian casual dining restaurants. It offers an extensive menu of traditional Korean and Korean-American food, including high-quality meats, poultry, seafood and mixed vegetables, all at a superior value. Its restaurants have modern decor, lively Korean pop music playing in the background and embedded grills in the center of each table. Its food is served family style and requires guests to share and coordinate their cooking responsibilities, which fosters more meaningful interaction than traditional casual dining. The company believes in its unique culinary experience appeals to a vast segment of the population, particularly Millennials and Gen Z.

Executives

Polar Asset Management Partners Inc.	10 percent owner	16 YORK STREET SUITE 2900, TORONTO A6 M5J 0E6
Jonathan Gregory	director	1870 CORDELL COURT, SUITE 210, EL CAJON CA 92020
Thomas Croal	officer: Chief Financial Officer	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Jae Chang	director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Michael Cowan	director	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Jose Manzanarez	10 percent owner	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Don Kim	10 percent owner	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Juhee Han	10 percent owner	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Lauren Wang	10 percent owner	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703
Ichibon Trading, Llc	10 percent owner	2711 VILLA PISA LN, LEAGUE CITY TX 77573-3293
Kim David Wook Jin	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	11480 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 205, CERRITOS CA 90703