What is American Battery Technology Co Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
American Battery Technology Co Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
American Battery Technology Co (American Battery Technology Co) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Washington Street, Suite 100, Reno, NV, USA, 89503
American Battery Technology Co is engaged in lithium-ion battery recycling, battery metals and material extraction, and resource production. It is a battery metals company producing low-cost battery metals with a commitment to closed-loop, clean energy technologies.
Executives
| Jesse Samuel Deutsch |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
269 BOOTH LN, HAVERFORD PA 19041 |
| Fezell Donald Richard Jr |
director |
PO BOX 2384, CARMEL CA 93921 |
| Kimberly Ann Eckert |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
1560 W 37TH AVE, DENVER CO 80211 |
| Elizabeth Ann Lowery |
director |
275 DATE PALM RD #303, VERO BEACH FL 32963 |
| Douglas Cole |
director, officer: CEO, CFO |
C/O AMERICAN BATTERY METALS CORP, 930 TAHOE BLVD, STE 802-16, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451 |
| Julia Blunden |
director |
16765 EDGAR ST., PACIFIC PALISADES CA 90272 |
| Sherif Marakby |
director |
6061 FAIRBORN DR, CANTON MI 48187 |
| Douglas Charles Maclellan |
director |
11825 MAJOR STREET, CULVER CITY CA 90230 |
| David Bruce Batstone |
director |
PO BOX 253, EL GRANADA CA 94018 |
| Scott Jolcover |
officer: Chief Resource Officer |
PO BOX 1118, VIRGINIA CITY NV 89440 |
| Meza Leal Andres Manuel |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
202 SEAVIEW STREET, #209, MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266 |
| John Hunter William |
director |
930 TAHOE BOULEVARD, SUITE 802-16, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451 |
| David Corsaut |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
22120 SERENATA CIRCLE, BOCA RATON FL 33433 |
| Ryan Mitchell Melsert |
director, officer: Chief Technology Officer |
255 N SIERRA ST, UNIT 1512, RENO NV 89501 |
| Michael Thomas Mason |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
142 STRATFORD AVE, GARDEN CITY NY 11530 |
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