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American Battery Technology Co (American Battery Technology Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-7.21 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is American Battery Technology Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-26), American Battery Technology Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-7.21.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

American Battery Technology Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for American Battery Technology Co is N/A.

The industry rank for American Battery Technology Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ABAT's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 1.26
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

American Battery Technology Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Battery Technology Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Battery Technology Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

American Battery Technology Co Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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American Battery Technology Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
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Competitive Comparison of American Battery Technology Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, American Battery Technology Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Battery Technology Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, American Battery Technology Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Battery Technology Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



American Battery Technology Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> American Battery Technology Co's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -40.30%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.625.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

American Battery Technology Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.625*11.5406
=-7.21

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-7.21-1.44)/-7.21
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Battery Technology Co  (NAS:ABAT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


American Battery Technology Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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American Battery Technology Co (American Battery Technology Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Washington Street, Suite 100, Reno, NV, USA, 89503
American Battery Technology Co is engaged in lithium-ion battery recycling, battery metals and material extraction, and resource production. It is a battery metals company producing low-cost battery metals with a commitment to closed-loop, clean energy technologies.
Executives
Jesse Samuel Deutsch officer: Chief Financial Officer 269 BOOTH LN, HAVERFORD PA 19041
Fezell Donald Richard Jr director PO BOX 2384, CARMEL CA 93921
Kimberly Ann Eckert officer: Chief Financial Officer 1560 W 37TH AVE, DENVER CO 80211
Elizabeth Ann Lowery director 275 DATE PALM RD #303, VERO BEACH FL 32963
Douglas Cole director, officer: CEO, CFO C/O AMERICAN BATTERY METALS CORP, 930 TAHOE BLVD, STE 802-16, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Julia Blunden director 16765 EDGAR ST., PACIFIC PALISADES CA 90272
Sherif Marakby director 6061 FAIRBORN DR, CANTON MI 48187
Douglas Charles Maclellan director 11825 MAJOR STREET, CULVER CITY CA 90230
David Bruce Batstone director PO BOX 253, EL GRANADA CA 94018
Scott Jolcover officer: Chief Resource Officer PO BOX 1118, VIRGINIA CITY NV 89440
Meza Leal Andres Manuel officer: Chief Operating Officer 202 SEAVIEW STREET, #209, MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266
John Hunter William director 930 TAHOE BOULEVARD, SUITE 802-16, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
David Corsaut officer: Chief Financial Officer 22120 SERENATA CIRCLE, BOCA RATON FL 33433
Ryan Mitchell Melsert director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 255 N SIERRA ST, UNIT 1512, RENO NV 89501
Michael Thomas Mason director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 142 STRATFORD AVE, GARDEN CITY NY 11530

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