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Orient (TSE:8585) Beneish M-Score : -2.53 (As of May. 11, 2024)


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What is Orient Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.53 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orient's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8585' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.62   Med: -2.39   Max: -2.26
Current: -2.53

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orient was -2.26. The lowest was -2.62. And the median was -2.39.


Orient Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orient's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orient Beneish M-Score Chart

Orient Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.48 -2.46 -2.62 -2.56 -2.53

Orient Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.53 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Orient's Beneish M-Score

For the Credit Services subindustry, Orient's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orient's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Orient's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orient's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orient Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orient for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.98+0.528 * 1.0092+0.404 * 0.9924+0.892 * 0.9908+0.115 * 0.952
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0198+4.679 * -0.003587-0.327 * 0.9951
=-2.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円2,605,670 Mil.
Revenue was 円227,691 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円213,594 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,384,553 Mil.
Total Assets was 円3,670,029 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円86,457 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円26,550 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円190,524 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,409,329 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,005,536 Mil.
Net Income was 円19,035 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円32,201 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円2,683,593 Mil.
Revenue was 円229,804 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円217,558 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,458,851 Mil.
Total Assets was 円3,752,049 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円88,179 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円25,406 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円188,563 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,533,789 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円974,467 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2605670 / 227691) / (2683593 / 229804)
=11.443887 / 11.677747
=0.98

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(217558 / 229804) / (213594 / 227691)
=0.946711 / 0.938087
=1.0092

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3384553 + 86457) / 3670029) / (1 - (3458851 + 88179) / 3752049)
=0.054228 / 0.054642
=0.9924

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=227691 / 229804
=0.9908

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(25406 / (25406 + 88179)) / (26550 / (26550 + 86457))
=0.223674 / 0.234941
=0.952

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(190524 / 227691) / (188563 / 229804)
=0.836766 / 0.820538
=1.0198

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1005536 + 2409329) / 3670029) / ((974467 + 2533789) / 3752049)
=0.930474 / 0.935024
=0.9951

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(19035 - 0 - 32201) / 3670029
=-0.003587

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orient has a M-score of -2.53 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orient (TSE:8585) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 at 2-chome, Tokyo, JPN
Orient Corp or Orico is a consumer finance company. The company provides installment credit services, credit cards and direct cash loan services, and bank loan guarantee services through a network of branches and member merchants spread throughout Japan. The company's strategy focuses on growing its installment credit business and forming joint ventures outside of Japan. The company's largest sources of revenue include both auto loans and bank loan guarantees. Its largest portion of earning assets is guaranteed loan receivables.

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