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Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Beneish M-Score : -2.50 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Fraser and Neave Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:F99' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.4   Max: -1.56
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Fraser and Neave was -1.56. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.40.


Fraser and Neave Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fraser and Neave Beneish M-Score Chart

Fraser and Neave Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 -2.31 -2.73 -2.21 -2.50

Fraser and Neave Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.73 - -2.21 - -2.50

Competitive Comparison of Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fraser and Neave's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Fraser and Neave Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Fraser and Neave for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1452+0.528 * 0.9651+0.404 * 0.9437+0.892 * 1.0479+0.115 * 1.1142
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0186+4.679 * -0.025093-0.327 * 1.1418
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep23) TTM:Last Year (Sep22) TTM:
Total Receivables was S$379 Mil.
Revenue was S$2,099 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$623 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$1,164 Mil.
Total Assets was S$5,122 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$946 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$88 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$475 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$835 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$826 Mil.
Net Income was S$133 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was S$262 Mil.
Total Receivables was S$316 Mil.
Revenue was S$2,003 Mil.
Gross Profit was S$574 Mil.
Total Current Assets was S$1,067 Mil.
Total Assets was S$4,981 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was S$811 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was S$85 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was S$445 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was S$541 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was S$873 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(378.704 / 2099.103) / (315.585 / 2003.214)
=0.180412 / 0.157539
=1.1452

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(573.844 / 2003.214) / (623.045 / 2099.103)
=0.286462 / 0.296815
=0.9651

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1164.198 + 946.425) / 5121.901) / (1 - (1066.572 + 811.329) / 4980.889)
=0.587922 / 0.622979
=0.9437

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2099.103 / 2003.214
=1.0479

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(85.17 / (85.17 + 811.329)) / (88.22 / (88.22 + 946.425))
=0.095003 / 0.085266
=1.1142

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(475.291 / 2099.103) / (445.291 / 2003.214)
=0.226426 / 0.222288
=1.0186

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((825.921 + 834.62) / 5121.901) / ((873.058 + 541.189) / 4980.889)
=0.324204 / 0.283935
=1.1418

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(133.216 - 0 - 261.74) / 5121.901
=-0.025093

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Fraser and Neave has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Fraser and Neave Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
438 Alexandra Road, Number 20-00 Alexandra Point, Singapore, SGP, 119958
Fraser and Neave Ltd is a Singapore-based company that operates through four segments: dairies, beverages, publishing and printing industries, and others. The dairies segment generates the majority of total revenue by manufacturing, marketing, and selling dairy products. The beverages segment is the next contributor to total revenue through the production and selling of soft drinks and alcoholic beverages. The publishing and printing business operates through a network of offices, printing plants, and distributors. The company mainly operates in Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indochina, Indonesia, Myanmar and Philippines.

Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Headlines

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