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Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : S$1.74 (As of May. 10, 2024)


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What is Fraser and Neave Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-10), Fraser and Neave's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is S$1.74. The stock price of Fraser and Neave is S$1.08. Therefore, Fraser and Neave's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fraser and Neave's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SGX:F99' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 0.76   Max: 1.36
Current: 0.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fraser and Neave was 1.36. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 0.76.

SGX:F99's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
78.96% of 1236 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.15 vs SGX:F99: 0.62

Fraser and Neave Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fraser and Neave's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fraser and Neave Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Fraser and Neave Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.86 2.00 2.05 1.81 1.74

Fraser and Neave Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.05 - 1.81 - 1.74

Competitive Comparison of Fraser and Neave's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Fraser and Neave's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fraser and Neave's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Fraser and Neave's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fraser and Neave's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Fraser and Neave Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fraser and Neave's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = S$19.36.

Fraser and Neave's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*19.355+2947.321*0.8)/1458.172
=1.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fraser and Neave  (SGX:F99) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fraser and Neave's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.08/1.7433630635754
=0.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fraser and Neave Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
438 Alexandra Road, Number 20-00 Alexandra Point, Singapore, SGP, 119958
Fraser and Neave Ltd is a Singapore-based company that operates through four segments: dairies, beverages, publishing and printing industries, and others. The dairies segment generates the majority of total revenue by manufacturing, marketing, and selling dairy products. The beverages segment is the next contributor to total revenue through the production and selling of soft drinks and alcoholic beverages. The publishing and printing business operates through a network of offices, printing plants, and distributors. The company mainly operates in Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Indochina, Indonesia, Myanmar and Philippines.

Fraser and Neave (SGX:F99) Headlines

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