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MCB Bank (KAR:MCB) Beneish M-Score : -2.80 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is MCB Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MCB Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:MCB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.12   Med: -2.7   Max: -1.56
Current: -2.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MCB Bank was -1.56. The lowest was -4.12. And the median was -2.70.


MCB Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MCB Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0033+0.892 * 1.5751+0.115 * 0.9029
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6566+4.679 * -0.14317-0.327 * 1.6438
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨0 Mil.
Revenue was 51214.841 + 57104.602 + 54109.437 + 50083.245 = ₨212,512 Mil.
Gross Profit was 51214.841 + 57104.602 + 54109.437 + 50083.245 = ₨212,512 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨2,667,479 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨90,002 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨6,346 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨1,833 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨35,778 Mil.
Net Income was 17819.689 + 16871.019 + 19634.87 + 14670.71 = ₨68,996 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 58782.722 + 12821.354 + 107269.636 + 272025.196 = ₨450,899 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨0 Mil.
Revenue was 37929.912 + 33893.346 + 32850.777 + 30245.604 = ₨134,920 Mil.
Gross Profit was 37929.912 + 33893.346 + 32850.777 + 30245.604 = ₨134,920 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨0 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨2,314,556 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨85,504 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨5,406 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨1,772 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨18,888 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 212512.125) / (0 / 134919.639)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(134919.639 / 134919.639) / (212512.125 / 212512.125)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 90001.885) / 2667478.757) / (1 - (0 + 85503.856) / 2314555.953)
=0.96626 / 0.963058
=1.0033

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=212512.125 / 134919.639
=1.5751

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5406.432 / (5406.432 + 85503.856)) / (6346.318 / (6346.318 + 90001.885))
=0.05947 / 0.065869
=0.9029

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1832.538 / 212512.125) / (1771.777 / 134919.639)
=0.008623 / 0.013132
=0.6566

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((35778.142 + 0) / 2667478.757) / ((18887.75 + 0) / 2314555.953)
=0.013413 / 0.00816
=1.6438

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(68996.288 - 0 - 450898.908) / 2667478.757
=-0.14317

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MCB Bank has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


MCB Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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MCB Bank (KAR:MCB) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
15-Main Gulberg, Jail Road, MCB House, Gulburg, Lahore, PB, PAK
MCB Bank Ltd is a commercial banking company operating in Pakistan. The bank provides services through its segments such as Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Consumer Banking, Treasury, and International banking. The majority of the bank's revenues are generated from the Retail banking segment, which includes retail lending and deposits, banking services, cards, and branchless banking. Retail banking offers services such as retail and private lending & deposits and other banking services offered to individual customers and small and medium-term companies. MCB Bank derives majority of its business from its domestic operations. It also has branches across South Asia and the Middle East.