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Hanhua Financial Holding Co (HKSE:03903) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Hanhua Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hanhua Financial Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03903' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.96   Max: -1.99
Current: -2.85

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hanhua Financial Holding Co was -1.99. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.96.


Hanhua Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hanhua Financial Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0157+0.892 * 0.8126+0.115 * 1.0493
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1636+4.679 * -0.033833-0.327 * 1.0799
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$0.0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$516.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$516.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$14,396.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$933.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$83.5 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$8.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,471.8 Mil.
Net Income was HK$34.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$521.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$0.0 Mil.
Revenue was HK$635.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$635.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$12,823.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,017.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$95.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$9.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$2,038.9 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 516.572) / (0 / 635.733)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(635.733 / 635.733) / (516.572 / 516.572)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 933.632) / 14396.743) / (1 - (0 + 1017.255) / 12823.911)
=0.93515 / 0.920675
=1.0157

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=516.572 / 635.733
=0.8126

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(95.871 / (95.871 + 1017.255)) / (83.489 / (83.489 + 933.632))
=0.086128 / 0.082084
=1.0493

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8.531 / 516.572) / (9.023 / 635.733)
=0.016515 / 0.014193
=1.1636

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2471.792 + 0) / 14396.743) / ((2038.868 + 0) / 12823.911)
=0.171691 / 0.15899
=1.0799

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(34.85 - 0 - 521.941) / 14396.743
=-0.033833

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hanhua Financial Holding Co has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hanhua Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hanhua Financial Holding Co (HKSE:03903) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11 East Honghu Road, 6-9, Building 2, Yubei District, Chongqing, CHN
Hanhua Financial Holding Co Ltd is engaged in the investment business, investment management, and investment advisory. The company offers financial services to serve the financing and business needs of SMEs and microenterprises under several business lines such as credit guarantee, small loans, internet finance, financial factoring, capital management, and financing leases in China. Its segment includes partnership finance business; SME lending; capital investment and management; and others. It derives revenue by provision of integrated financial services and solutions such as credit guarantee business and capital business (capital business includes accounts receivables for factoring business, bill discount business, and entrusted loans), financial assets management, and other services.